Just Foreign Policy News
January 13, 2011

1) Survey Results Of Conservatives
Afghanistan Study Group, January 13, 2011


The following is an analysis of a poll taken of conservative voters
nationwide. Drawn from a sample of randomly selected phone numbers,
this poll contains 1,000 registered voters who describe their
political ideology as conservative. Voters with listed landline
phones, unlisted landline phones, and cellular phones were eligible to
be called. Respondents were interviewed from 5:00 to 9:00 in their
time zone from January 4th through 10th. The responses to this survey
should be within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points of those that
would have been obtained from interviewing the entire population of
registered conservative voters. 550 respondents describe themselves as
a "Tea Party Supporter". The margin of error for this group is 4.2
percentage points. The following summarizes key results from the

Conservatives and Tea Party supporters are worried about the costs of
the war in Afghanistan. 71% of conservatives overall, and 67% of
conservative Tea Party supporters, indicate worry that the costs will
make it more difficult for the United States to reduce the deficit
this year and balance the federal budget by the end of this decade.
Significant percentages of conservative men (67%) and women (75%)
indicate concern about the costs of the war as do conservatives in all
age groups. Those in active duty military or veteran households are as
worried about the costs of the war (69%) as those in non-military
households (72%). 61% of conservatives who believe the war has been
worth fighting are worried about the current level of costs.

Two-thirds of conservatives support a reduction in troop levels in
Afghanistan. When given a choice between three options, 66% believe we
can either reduce the troop levels in Afghanistan, but continue to
fight the war effectively (39%) or think we should leave Afghanistan
all together, as soon as possible (27%). Just 24% of conservatives
believe we should continue to provide the current level of troops to
properly execute the war. 64% of Tea Party supporters think we should
either reduce troop levels (37%) or leave Afghanistan (27%) while 28%
support maintaining current troop levels. Among conservatives who
don't identify with the Tea Party movement, 70% want a reduction (43%)
or elimination (27%) of troops while only 18% favoring continuation of
the current level.

A majority of conservatives agree that the United States can
dramatically lower the number of troops and money spent in Afghanistan
without putting America at risk. 57% say they agree with that
statement after hearing about the current number of troops in country
and the funding needed to support them. Only a third (34%) do not
agree with this statement. Among Tea Party supports 55% agree that we
can reduce the number of troops without compromising security while
38% disagree. Among non Tea Party conservatives, 60% agree with this
statement while 27% disagree.

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