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Rebel gains in southern Syria and efforts to sever regime supply routes
north and south of Damascus indicate that the regime has lost momentum
in the capital region. Rebel alliances show greater cohesion in this
zone, as well a greater cooperation with Jabhat al-Nusra, while the
regime is showing signs of severe manpower shortage. The regime is
attempting to fill its ranks with new conscripts and reservists. The
regime will likely need to reinforce its southern front in order to
reverse rebel gains, though it is likely that the regime will need
to sacrifice efforts elsewhere in order to provide sufficient support.
full:
http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Theo_Damascus_Backgrounder.pdf
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