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Thanks for this thoughtful and convincing observations! Am 20.06.2018 um 17:37 schrieb mkaradjis:
The CPV has built "some relations" with the US, yes, but this is exaggerated. If you read these articles carefully you will note that despite their dispute over the islands, Vietnam has also maintained strong relations with China. As I explained, the anti-Chinese opposition calls the CPV government "communist traitors" for allegedly selling out to China, which on the islands question is an absurd charge, because the CPV strongly pushes Vietnam's claim, only insisting. correctly, that no blood should be spilt over the fate of uninhabited islands. Therefore, the anti-China nationalist opposition implies that they advocate war to push for Vietnam's sovereignty over the islands; and this can only mean support for a stronger alliance with the US, which the CPV rejects. I don;t mean the broad movement described here, because as I said, it is of very mixed consciousness and has a strongly progressive thrust, but I mean the more ideologically right-wing nationalist spokespeople. Vietnam's policy is one of balance between the US and China. But what is often overlooked is that, as a counterweight to both, Vietnam has actually built up very strong relations with Russia. Given the Putin regime's reactionary role in the world, that is certainly no better than an alliance with the US, but geography matters; Vietnam is not Syria or Ukraine. Where Vietnam is, the main danger is not the US or Russia, but the gigantic Empire hovering right above it, on its land and sea borders. For those of us awed by China's astonishing growth and its enormous projection of power, like the trillion-dollar ''Belt and Road Initiative' traversing Eurasia, imagine being a small country like Vietnam under its shadow, when the colossus has already attacked several times in living memory and lays claim to the entire sea up to your coastline. But given its own history with the US, naturally Vietnam wants to avoid falling too much under a US shadow, even if it is currently less dangerous than China. A Russian tilt is therefore a pragmatic choice. So it is Russia that Vietnam offers to build its first nuclear plant; it is Russia that has been offered the rights to develop Cam Ranh Bay, the former American base in the south during the war; it is Russia that has sold Vietnam advanced submarines with the capacity to do damage to the Chinese navy should it become necessary.
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