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The possibility of a nuclear exchange is enhanced by the disparity
between India and Pakistan’s military forces. One does not have to be
Carl von Clausewitz to predict the likely outcome of a conventional war
between a country of 200 million people and a country of 1.3 billion people.
Pakistan reserves the right to use nuclear weapons first. India has a
“no first use” policy, but with so many caveats that it is essentially
meaningless. In brief, it wouldn’t take much to ignite a nuclear war
between them.
If that happens, its effects will not be just regional. According to a
study by the University of Colorado, Rutgers University, and UCLA, if
Pakistan and India exchanged 100 Hiroshima-sized nuclear warheads (15
kilotons), they would not only kill or injure 45 million people, but
also generate enough smoke to plunge the world into a 25-year long
nuclear winter.
Both countries have between 130 and 150 warheads apiece.
Temperatures would drop to Ice Age levels and worldwide rainfall would
decline by 6 percent, triggering major droughts. The Asian Monsoon could
be reduced by between 20 and 80 percent, causing widespread regional
starvation.
full: https://fpif.org/nuclear-powers-need-to-disarm-before-its-too-late/
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