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In a rapid warming scenario:

1. a stronger-than-expected El NiƱo would contribute to
2. early demise of the Arctic sea ice, i.e. latent heat tipping point +
3. associated loss of sea ice albedo,
4. destabilization of seafloor methane hydrates, causing eruption of vast
amounts of methane that further speed up Arctic warming and cause
5. terrestrial permafrost to melt as well, resulting in even more
emissions,
6. while the Jet Stream gets even more deformed, resulting in more extreme
weather events
7. causing forest fires, at first in Siberia and Canada and
8. eventually also in the peat fields and tropical rain forests of the
Amazon, in Africa and South-east Asia, resulting in
9. rapid melting on the Himalayas, temporarily causing huge flooding,
10. followed by drought, famine, heat waves and mass starvation, and
11. collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet.

Sam Carana
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