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A Chinese visitor to northern Italy noted best why the virus has spread so 
widely in Italy -- she was astounded that the Italians she saw were refusing to 
practice social distancing, even in the depths of their visitation by the 
pandemic.

> On March 20, 2020 at 8:52 AM hari kumar via Marxism 
> <[email protected] mailto:[email protected] > wrote:
> 
> 
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> 
>     *Chris Slee *I, in my view - right about those co-factors mentioned. (I
>     have not read the Telegraph version).
>     Another point is that there was a large population in the factories in
>     Italy. The clothing industry has seen a major shift. Now Chinese owned
>     conglomerates apparently bring to North Italy a large migrant population.
>     (Sorry - it was read in a German paper on th road, and I forget source).
>     So all sorts of issues on top of *population susceptibility* (age,
>     co-factors smoking, air pollution). These remain the main drivers.
> 
>     But other modifying factors, ones that will likely come into play will
>     likely also include obesity - and other general markers of ill health. 
> ThIs
>     is why the burden may be quite high in the USA (Unfortunately we can only
>     wait & see).
> 
>     However, there are other issues too. But in addition - the Italians were
>     slow to start contact tracing & isolation. That allowed spread and
>     reservoirs.... In some contrast to Germany.
>     As far as Germany is concerned: The Robert Koch Institute that
>     developed the WHO approved test - was very vigilant and active from the
>     outset. It started a very clear public understanding early on. And rapid
>     isolation of patients - the first from a contact with a Chinese
>     businesswoman in Munich visiting a factory. They from that published an
>     early paper in NEJM, showing that the transmission was by an 
> *asymptomatic*
>     person. ThIs was hugely controversial then, but it is apparently true - 
> and
>     an important vector.
> 
>     *By the bye: *
>     All bourgeois politicians are essentially cut from the same cloth. Yet 
> *there
>     are* differences. (we see evident differences between communists on this
>     list... I would venture to say. Why is it any different?).
>     Did anyone see the broadcast of *Angela Merkel* a few days ago? [Find at
>     AZD or Der Spiegel - it is not dubbed though].
>     It was evidently sincere, kind and very straightforward. I have *never*
>     heard a bourgeois politician with a sincerity, in an address to the 
> nation - thank: "The cashiers at supermarkets and the workers who fill the
>     shelves - Thank you".
> 
>     Hari Kumar
> 
>         > > Message: 12
> >         Date: Fri, 20 Mar 2020 02:08:03 +0000
> >         From: Chris Slee <[email protected] 
> > mailto:[email protected] >
> >         To: Activists and scholars in Marxist tradition
> >         <[email protected] mailto:[email protected] >
> >         Cc: John Reimann <[email protected] 
> > mailto:[email protected] >
> >         Subject: Re: [Marxism]
> >         Message-ID:
> >         <
> >         
> > sl2p216mb0490d23449b2e799bf7ddc7ec4...@sl2p216mb0490.korp216.prod.outlook.com
> >  
> > mailto:sl2p216mb0490d23449b2e799bf7ddc7ec4...@sl2p216mb0490.korp216.prod.outlook.com
> >         >
> > 
> >     > 
>         > > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="Windows-1252"
> > 
> >     > 
>         > > An article by Sarah Newey in the Telegraph cites several factors,
> >         including high rates of air pollution in northern Italy, high rates 
> > of
> >         smoking, and the high proportion of old people (Italy has the 
> > second oldest
> >         population in the world, and 87 percent of deaths are patients over 
> > 70
> >         years old).
> > 
> >     > 
>         > > Staffing levels in hospitals are inadequate.
> > 
> >     > 
>         > > But there is also an issue in recording the cause of death. In 
> Italy all
> >         who die in hospital with the virus are assumed to be dying as a 
> > result of
> >         the virus, though most of them also have at least one other disease.
> > 
> >     > 
>         > > Chris Slee
> >         ________________________________
> >         From: Marxism <[email protected] 
> > mailto:[email protected] > on behalf of John
> >         Reimann via Marxism <[email protected] 
> > mailto:[email protected] >
> >         Sent: Friday, 20 March 2020 10:56:34 AM
> >         To: Chris Slee <[email protected] 
> > mailto:[email protected] >
> >         Cc: John Reimann <[email protected] 
> > mailto:[email protected] >
> >         Subject: [Marxism] Italian & German mortality rates
> > 
> >     > 
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> > 
> >     > 
>         > > I was just checking the latest mortality statistics. According to 
> the site
> >         below, the mortality rate of those counted is a massive 8.3% in 
> > Italy,
> >         while it's a minuscule 0.28% in Germany. Presumably a large part of 
> > that
> >         difference is due to Italy having missed thousands of cases, thus 
> > having
> >         reduced the total number. But that massive of a difference? Does 
> > anybody
> >         have any idea how to explain it?
> > 
> >     > >
> 
>         > > 
> https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR2kuIKZC6pBYubhUdS_M-Rsp3OOwZ9b0mHCzgLD-dTr64gAhBMR-vI34ss#countries
> > 
> >     > >
> 
>         ----------------------------


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