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Artesian writes:
So is it official now? Can we all agree that the "agreement" negotiated by
Shannon wasn't a victory? That it was a fraud? That Zelaya should have
never signed it, and the fact that he did says a lot about his class
allegiance?

Maybe we can take another look and understand that the forces driving this
conflict have far outstripped the issue of his presidency, and what the next
steps must be? Maybe?


Fred comments:
What is Artesian arguing for? Allowing for traditional transitional doo-dads
like Soviets that he may tack on, it is basically just another variant of
Socialism Right This Minute -- or Bust!"  And since virtually no one in
Honduras or, indeed, the world is fighting on this basis right now (partly
because Socialism Right This Minute is not possible anywhere at this
moment), he feels secure in his stance as The One Who Knows that the outcome
will always be "bust."

Artesian suggests that those who support the approach taken by the Honduran
popular movement on the restoration of Zelaya argued that "the issue of his
presidency" was the driving force of the conflict. On the contrary, we have
argued from the beginning that the issues "far outstripped the issue of his
presidency," being rooted in a developing popular revolt against the old
Honduran order, and that they were international as well extending across
Latin America and the Caribbean and beyond.

What we did not and do not do was reject the call for the restoration of
Zelaya, an elementary democratic demand that anyone who credibly claims
roots in the Marxist tradition, should support as a reflex of a class
position.

Frankly, most of the left has actually done creditably on this one. Only the
US Militant newspaper has abstained from the fight, arguing that the removal
of Zelaya was not a military coup (like the State Department, although for
their own vewy wevolutionary weasons) was simply a fight among the
bourgeoisie. Washington's aim in the conflict was not to help install
reaction but simply to establish a "stable" government. Thus the masses
should stay out of this conflict and take no side.

Artesian's position that the forces driving the conflict have far
outstripped the issue of Zelaya's presidency, which was recognized from the
beginning by almost all concerned, may represent a shamefaced version of the
argument that the masses have no stake in the issue of Zelaya's presidency
and should withdraw from the conflict over this. Unlike the Militant, which
favors mere abstention, Artesian seems to suggest the current popular
democratic national fight (which inevitably poses issues that go beyond
this) should replaced by one, in Honduras and everywhere, now and always for
socialism now.

I also disagree with Artesian's denunciation for Zelaya for signing the most
recent accords. I think he had no viable choice. A show of intransigeance on
this would have accomplished nothing for the struggle, making Washington's
shift to the side of the regime more smooth and reasonable-sounding here and
abroad. 'It would have given some of his erstwhile allies in Europe and
Latin America a chance to step away from him. The end effect of the
agreement was to make it clear that the regime and the US government were
blocking the restoration of elementary democratic norms.

My default position on Zelaya is that he remains a bourgeois-nationalist,
reform-oriented politician -- currently quite isolated on the currently
visible bourgeois spectrum of his own country. He has said or done nothing
since his overturn that requires me to change that, and nothing that
justifies withdrawing support for his restoration.

He has fought hard on the side of justice and democracy on this matter, thus
doing the best -- somewhat surpassing the best actually -- that could have
been expected of him.

The agreement was not a victory, but also not a defeat. It registered
diplomatic and political realities that had already taken shape in the
previous battles. That a popular democratic national movement has taken
shape that is still not strong enough to defeat the oligarchy and its
gunmen.

I would have preferred winning sooner, naturally, but I always had a sense
that this struggle would go on beyond the date scheduled for the elections.
I think this struggle -- not a nonexistent more advanced one that proclaimed
Marxists suck out of their thumbs -- is the road forward for the people of
Honduras today. 





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