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Comrade Foley's paper was a big disappointment. His nod to complex
systems theory is little more than the kind of speculative reference
found in many popular attempts to apply the theory (see "Emergence" by
Steven Johnson, or any other book referring to the Santa Fe Institute
with which Foley is now affiliated).
Foley starts off by creating a false dichotomy of "Communist" planning
and social-democratic tinkering with capitalism, and fails to mention
the analysis of where Stalinist planning went wrong by Trotsky or any
subsequent Trotskyists. And he fails to address the very specific
proposals for what democratic socialist planning would look like by
Mandel.
The latter's writings on this are particularly important in assessing
Foley's proposal, as they address the supposed "bottom-up, top-down"
dilemma identified by Foley.
For Mandel, the solution is a careful articulation of decision-making
at ALL levels, bottom, top, and every level in between. And there
would be a rule that decisions will be made as low down the hierarchy
as possible, both for efficiency and democracy's sake, with each
higher level only making the absolutely necessary proposals for
aggregate targets (but at the same time allowing maximum democratic
input on such macroglobal problems as climate change).
Foley, in contrast, talks of a vague combination of the "bottom-up"
phenomena of "complex, adaptive, self-organizing systems far from
equilibrium, and “top-down” processes of system change and evolution:
"Bottom-up change arises from the spontaneous and decentralized
adaptation of the components of a complex system to new local
circumstances. Top-down change is initiated by some central point of
control which can enforce a diffusion of changed behavior through a
complex system."
The key to this unarticulated "solution," and the resulting gap or
even mismatch between bottom and top, is revealed in the questions he
poses, showing he doesn't feel confident in our ability to supercede
the market: "What would these alternatives look like? Do we need to
imagine different methods by which innovators can mobilize resources
than the current system of credit and debt contracts? Do we want to
move toward a system that shares with global capitalism a spontaneous,
bottom-up social dynamic, but militates against the concentration of
wealth and income capitalism entails?"
This lack of confidence is what's behind his -- and others' --
attraction to self-organized, complex adaptive systems. They appear to
provide structures which arise spontaneously out of the actions of
what were thought to be atomized actors. In a sense, they're a kind of
"objective socialization," to use Engels' phrase. BUT THE ADVOCATES OF
COMPLEX SYSTEMS BELIEVE THE SOCIALIZATION SHOULD BE LEFT IN THE
OBJECTIVE, NOT THE SUBJECTIVE, SPHERE. Bringing it into the subjective
sphere would mean believing that we can PLAN the kind of emergent
phenomenon which complex systems bring about semi-spontaneously.
This is not to say that complex systems theory doesn't have tools we
could use: in fact knowing the extent to which systems organize
themselves tell us when we can let the computer (or interacting social
networks like neighborhoods) run on their own.
That's the beauty of the software behind Google, the Sims, Amazon, etc., etc.
The problem for us is how to allow social structures to take the
information provided by those tools and vote on their policy
implications -- a problem which, as Mandel (and Cockshott and Cottrel
and others) shows, is easily solvable.

On Wed, Feb 24, 2010 at 2:40 PM, Louis Proyect <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Alternatives can be analyzed in terms of the bottom-up, top-down language of 
>> complex systems theory. Alternatives will have to transcend the growth 
>> paradigm shared by left and right in the twentieth century.
>> full: http://homepage.newschool.edu/~foleyd/NotesCrisisSocChange.pdf

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