A lot of people on the radical left have been pushing the idea that Trump is 
attempting a coup. But while Trump might welcome such a thing, I don't see it 
happening. For such a thing to occur there would have to be institutional 
support for it. While most of the Senate Republicans have been proclaiming 
their support for Trump, they haven't been doing anything concrete that would 
overturn the election results. And if we take a look at other institutions 
there is even less evidence that a coup is in the offing. It would require 
support from the military and the intelligence agencies (i.e. the so-called 
deep state). The military brass for the most part hates Trump's guts, and ditto 
for the intelligence agencies, with which Trump has been feuding with since the 
2016 election. And this should not at all be surprising. In other countries, 
coups usually occur during periods of deep political unrest. Mussolini's "march 
on Rome" took place following a period of deep unrest among Italy's industrial 
workers which had resulted in numerous strikes and factory occupations. That 
unrest put the fear of God into Italy's upper and middle classes, who were 
hankering for a strongman to restore order. Mussolini's takeover had support 
from major institutions like the military, the Catholic Church, and indeed the 
Italian king himself.

Hitler's rise to power in Germany occurred in the midst of the Great 
Depression, following several years of governments that had proven incapable of 
dealing with the economic slump and of the political unrest associated with it. 
Germany's ruling class was fearful that the country's two major working class 
parties: the large SPD and the smaller KPD, and the trade unions would all get 
together to form a workers government. That never happened, but fears of such a 
prospect encouraged some of Germany's biggest industrialists to throw their 
support of Hitler and his National Socialists.

In the US, I don’t see anything like that going on right now. True that we have 
seen an uptick in activism by much of this nation’s youth, who have been 
willing to go into the streets on behalf of BLM, even in the midst of the 
pandemic. But these young people are not a real threat to the ruling class, at 
least not yet. For that to happen, these new movements would have to expand 
much further and link up with labor unions so that they would be in a position 
to not just organize demonstrations and protests, and even riots, but to also 
be able to foment strikes, and even a general strike. Thus far, BLM and allied 
movements are still quite far away from able to do these things. And without 
that capacity, they’re simply not going to be scary enough to convince the 
ruling class to back an authoritarian seizure of power by Trump or anyone else.


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