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IDEAS

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Was the Soviet Union an idea ahead of its time?
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The dream of central economic planning died with the USSR. Thirty years later, 
technologies for matching supply and demand are a reality in America — as is 
the potential for surveillance Lenin and Stalin could only have dreamed of.
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By Marcel Fafchamps Updated March 24, 2021, 9:22 a.m.

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A Soviet poster from 1918 that urged women to work on cooperative farms. 
WIKIMEDIA COMMONS

When the Soviet Union was created, beginning in 1917, its rulers wanted all 
profits, all returns to capital, to accrue to the state. This would not have 
been possible with decentralized markets, since the state could not know the 
profits made by individual entities, regardless of whether they were privately 
or publicly owned. This, they anticipated, would lead to underreporting of 
income and defeat the rulers’ objective. To circumvent this problem, they 
turned to scientific planning to replace the market with algorithms.

Production units were asked to declare their plans and capacities. Retail 
chains were asked to project the demand for consumer goods. Government 
ministries were asked to stipulate their needs for investment in various kinds 
of infrastructure. These numbers were then put together in matrices, and a 
mathematical method known as linear programming was used to optimize the 
allocation of workers and productive capacity so as to achieve the objective of 
the plan at the lowest resource cost.

While this system could more or less handle large planned investments in heavy 
industry — steel mills, coal mines, and the like — it was woefully insufficient 
at handling consumers’ demand for varied goods and services once the Soviet 
economy started to develop. The problem was that the rulers at the time had 
only simple mathematical algorithms and no computers. Running an entire complex 
economy via algorithm was simply not feasible. This probably explains why after 
several Eastern European countries fell into the orbit of the Soviet Union in 
the late 1940s, some of them did not even attempt to adopt its full-fledged 
central planning system and instead allowed a modicum of market exchange to 
remain. By the time the Soviet Union was disbanded in the early 1990s, its 
central planning system of exchange was judged a failure, and it was rapidly 
replaced with a decentralized market system.


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