https://links.org.au/revolution-russia-possible

The first thing we should understand and accept is that the war in Ukraine can 
only truly end once there has been profound political change in Russia.....

The second thing to understand, without which the first only leads to undue 
despair, is that a revolution or profound political change is indeed possible 
in Russia in the medium term. There are three fundamental preconditions for 
this:

  *   The dissatisfaction with the Kremlin’s domestic policies and with the 
vulnerable position of many people at all levels of Russian society, except a 
small percentage of the most affluent.
  *   The presence of a sufficiently large number of people with experience in 
independent or even oppositional activities — these are the future activists of 
a broad popular movement who will change the country, removing the current 
leadership that has seized wealth and power. I would like to note that a lot of 
the people with experience in political participation are from younger 
generations, and in this demographic left-wing and democratic views are the 
most widespread.
  *   A series of mistakes and crimes by the Russian authorities, the first of 
which was the invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, which make political 
crises in Russia almost inevitable. Prigozhin’s mutiny was the first instance.




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