Neutrality and ceasefire were parts of the old plan to end the cold war. 
Ravenous NATO still insists on taking over in all the Warsaw pact countries, 
while wearing costume halos.  Barry     

Le Monde diplomatique
https://mondediplo.com/2024/06/01edito

Ukraine: what might have been
by Benoît Bréville

Why the silence from French journalists and commentators? They’re normally so 
fond of secret documents about Russia. They hunt down every hidden plan through 
which Moscow tries to dissolve the cohesion of democratic societies, every 
Russian mole lurking in the state apparatus. On 27 April the German 
conservative daily Die Welt served them on a silver platter a confidential plan 
from the East: the final version of the peace agreement negotiated by Kyiv and 
Moscow in the early days of the war – a significant document, which, had it 
been signed, could have avoided two years of conflict and hundreds of thousands 
of deaths. The French media have made almost nothing of it (1), perhaps wary of 
digging into a story in which Western warmongers don’t come up smelling of 
roses.

In Istanbul on 29 March 2022 Russian and Ukrainian delegations met for the 
seventh round of negotiations in a month, in an evolving military context in 
which the Russian aggressor had suffered its first setbacks. When the talks 
ended, both sides hailed ‘significant’ progress and expressed optimism. Kyiv 
was open to Ukrainian neutrality, Moscow to a ceasefire. However, the talks 
broke off, for reasons that remain disputed. The document from Die Welt 
provided some details.

The official version is that the revelation of the Bucha massacre in early 
April convinced President Volodymyr Zelensky that he could not keep negotiating 
with a country that committed genocide. In reality, the exchanges continued via 
video-link until 15 April, nearly two weeks after the discovery of Bucha. Those 
two weeks of negotiations transformed the broad outlines established in 
Istanbul into a detailed, 17-page text. Reading it reveals both sides’ 
priorities and the compromises they were willing to make to end the fighting.

Rather than territorial conquests, Russia sought security guarantees concerning 
its borders, stipulating in the very first article the ‘permanent neutrality’ 
of Ukraine, which would agree to give up all military alliances, prohibit the 
presence of foreign troops on its soil and reduce its arsenal, while retaining 
the option of European Union accession. In return, Moscow would commit to 
withdrawing its troops from areas it had occupied since 24 February, end its 
attack on Ukraine and agree to the security assistance mechanism requested by 
Kyiv: in case of aggression against Ukraine, members of the UN Security Council 
would come to its defence.

Why did the Ukrainians ultimately leave the negotiating table with peace 
seemingly within reach, even though the talks went on after Bucha? For two 
years, evidence has pointed to the responsibility of the US and the UK, which, 
over-confident of Moscow’s defeat, firmly rejected the protection mechanism the 
negotiators had come up with. ‘When we returned from Istanbul, Boris Johnson 
came to Kyiv [on 9 April] and said that we would not sign anything with them at 
all, and let’s just fight,’ Ukraine’s chief negotiator, Davyd Arakhamiia, said 
in November (2). A narrative contested by Johnson, but corroborated by a Wall 
Street Journal investigation (3).

The French media, meanwhile, have studiously ignored it.

Benoît Bréville
Benoît Bréville is president and editorial director of Le Monde diplomatique.



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