Israel says that Hezbollah <https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/what-hezbollah> –
the Lebanese political party and militant group – has pushed it close to an
all-out war after the organisation posted a nine-minute video
<https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/18/middleeast/hezbollah-drone-video-israel-haifa-intl-latam/index.html>
of
drone footage, showing military and civilian areas in several locations
including the Israeli port of Haifa. Israel has now publicly stated that it
has approved military plans
<https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/18/hezbollah-publishes-surveillance-drone-footage-it-says-shows-locations-in-israel>
to
move to a war footing
<https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/18/middleeast/hezbollah-drone-video-israel-haifa-intl-latam/index.html>
against
Hezbollah. Lebanon is on Israel’s border and the two countries have a long
history of conflict
<https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/long-history-warfare-israel-lebanon-border-2024-06-07/>
and
tension, which has been intensifying in recent months.

Israel’s escalation would be a significant blow to Biden ahead of the US
presidential election. The Israel-Palestine conflict
<https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-44124396> is already eroding Democrat
support
<https://www.npr.org/2023/11/01/1209789324/democrats-israel-palestinians-progressive-foreign-policy>
and
Biden has repeatedly been accused from all sides of mishandling the
situation
<https://www.brookings.edu/articles/bidens-dangerous-stance-on-the-war-in-israel-and-gaza/>.
If further violence ramps up in the region, this will put even greater
pressure on Biden, in ways he doesn’t need, just before the US goes to the
ballot box.
https://www.juancole.com/2024/06/threatens-hezbollah-presidential.html


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