*Letter published by experts in the British medical journal estimated that
some 10,000 people could still be buried in the rubble in Gaza*
Middle East Eye, staff, July 8
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/gaza-death-toll-could-exceed-186000-lancet-warns

A letter written by experts and published in the British medical journal,
the Lancet, estimates that the actual death toll of Palestinians killed in
Gaza could exceed 186,000.

The official death toll of Palestinians killed since Israel’s war on Gaza
began in October is 38,153, according to Gaza's health ministry.

However, the letter emphasised that this figure is likely a dramatic
underestimate and does not account for the thousands of people buried under
the rubble or for the mounting "indirect" deaths as a result of Israel's
destruction of Gaza's food distribution, healthcare and sanitation systems.

"The total death toll is expected to be large given the intensity of this
conflict; destroyed health-care infrastructure; severe shortages of food,
water, and shelter; the population’s inability to flee to safe places; and
the loss of funding to UNRWA, one of the very few humanitarian
organizations still active in the Gaza Strip," the letter said.
  .  .  .


*Gaza death toll could reach half a million: Lancet*
*The leading medical journal says that 'indirect deaths' of Palestinians
from Israel's destruction of civilian infrastructure would far exceed those
killed directly by the bombing*
The Cradle, News Desk, July 8
https://thecradle.co/articles/gaza-death-toll-could-reach-half-a-million-lancet
  .  .  .
The writers point to another crucial factor in determining the number of
those killed by Israel's assault on Gaza: indirect deaths.

“Even if the conflict ends immediately, there will continue to be many
indirect deaths in the coming months and years” due to disease, destroyed
healthcare infrastructure, and severe shortages of food and water, the
authors write.

For example, “Children in Gaza have been dying from starvation-related
complications since the Israeli government began using starvation as a
weapon of war,” Human Rights Watch noted in April.

“In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the
number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect
deaths per one direct death to the 37,396 deaths reported, it is not
implausible to estimate that up to 186,000 or even more deaths could be
attributable to the current conflict in Gaza,” the authors concluded.

Such a “conservative estimate” of the death toll would amount to 7.9
percent of Gaza's population of 2.3 million.

If the conflict were to end immediately with 37,396 direct deaths, and the
upper bound of 15 indirect deaths per direct death is used, a total death
toll of 598,336, or 26 percent of the population, would be expected. The
lower bound of 3 indirect deaths per direct death would result in an
estimated 149,584 total deaths.

Because Israel's bombing campaign in Gaza is deliberately destroying the
infrastructure needed to support human life, the mortality rate among
Palestinians may remain high long after the assault has stopped.
  .  .  .


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