RI scientists beg to differ on global warming 
   
  Adianto P. Simamora, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta
   
  While calls for tougher action on global warming are intensifying, Indonesian 
officials and scientists differ over whether climate changes have affected the 
country.
  Masnellyarti Hilman -- who headed the Indonesian delegation to the United 
Nations Climate Change Conference from Nov. 6 to 17 in Nairobi, Kenya -- said 
global warming was a present reality for many Indonesians.   "Indonesia is 
already facing the impacts of climate change such as drought, flooding and 
other weather conditions associated with global warming," she said in her 
speech at the conference, a copy of which was made available to The Jakarta 
Post.   Masnellyarti, who is a deputy minister for environmental management at 
the State Ministry for the Environment, said the higher-than-average 
temperatures in the capital in the last dry season -- which hit a record high 
of 36 degrees Celsius in what month? from the previous record highs of 32-34 
degrees -- were a strong indicator of global warming.   The ministry has also 
said the rising sea levels, water shortages and forest fires here are 
indicators of global warming.   Global warming is a phenomenon in which an 
increase
 in the temperatures of the earth's atmosphere and oceans can lead to an 
increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events including 
floods, droughts, heat waves, hurricanes and tornadoes.   Climatologists say 
global warming might be due to increasing levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide. 
  However, many Indonesian officials and scientists are cautious about 
suggestions that global warming has caused extreme weather conditions in the 
country.   "The stated indicators are still qualitative talks. No research has 
been done here to link freak weather conditions, which only hit certain areas, 
with climate change," Zadrach L. Dupe, a meteorologist from the Bandung 
Institute of Technology, told the Post.   He said the higher-than-average 
temperatures in Jakarta and Bandung, for example, could be caused by many 
factors, such as changing land use patterns through agriculture and 
deforestation, and population growth.   "The massive forest fires in Kalimantan 
and
 Pekanbaru might be contributing to global warming, but there is no evidence to 
link rising seasonal temperatures in the two cities with climate change."   
Pollution levels in Malaysia and Singapore reached levels considered unhealthy 
on a number of occasions due to smog from fires in Kalimantan and Sumatra.   
"Global warming is a complex issue. We need accurate data on temperatures over 
at least the last 50 years. Unfortunately, Indonesia has no such data," he 
said.   Sri Loka Prabotosari from the National Space and Aviation Agency 
(Lapan) said the heat waves in Jakarta and Bandung were not strong evidence of 
global warming.   "According to our estimations, a 15 percent increase in 
temperatures over 30 years would indicate that global warming was underway. 
Therefore, if there is only a small rise in temperatures it can't be 
categorized as global warming," Sri Loka said as quoted by Antara.   Sri Loka 
said Lapan had recorded temperatures in Indonesia for the last 100 years,
 and it was unconvinced that global warming was taking hold.   Ari Muhammad, 
the World Wide Fund for Nature's climate change coordinator for Indonesia, said 
there were warning signs of global warming in the country.   "The coral 
bleaching in Bali and the water shortages across the country are among 
indicators of global warming," he told the Post.   He expressed concern over 
the slow progress made at the climate change conference in Kenya.   "Developed 
countries have yet to show strong commitment to limiting greenhouse gas 
emissions as agreed in the Kyoto Protocol," he said.   Under the Kyoto 
Protocol, developed nations must cut greenhouse gas emissions by 8 percent 
below 1990 levels in the period between 2008 and 2012 in order to control 
global warming.   Indonesia is not bound by the protocol to any emissions 
reduction target. 

 
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