July 23, 2008

Uprising Against the Ethanol Mandate
By DAVID STREITFELD
NY Times

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/23/business/23ethanol.html?_r=1&oref=slogin&ref=business&pagewanted=print


The ethanol industry, until recently a golden child that got favorable 
treatment from Washington, is facing a critical decision on its future.

Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is asking the Environmental Protection Agency to 
temporarily waive regulations requiring the oil industry to blend 
ever-increasing amounts of ethanol into gasoline. A decision is expected in 
the next few weeks.

Mr. Perry says the billions of bushels of corn being used to produce all 
that mandated ethanol would be better suited as livestock feed than as fuel.

Feed prices have soared in the last two years as fuel has begun competing 
with food for cropland.

"When you find yourself in a hole, you have to quit digging," Mr. Perry 
said in an interview. "And we are in a hole."

His request for an emergency waiver cutting the ethanol mandate to 4.5 
billion gallons, from the 9 billion gallons required this year and the 10.5 
billion required in 2009, is backed by a coalition of food, livestock and 
environmental groups.

Farmers and ethanol and other biofuel producers are lobbying to keep the 
existing mandates.

"This is a critically important decision that will determine the future of 
biofuels in this country," said Brent Erickson, a lobbyist at the 
Biotechnology Industry Organization, which supports the ethanol mandates. 
"There will be a dramatic reaction from whoever loses."

The E.P.A. received 15,000 public comments on the Texas proposal, roughly 
split between those in favor and those against.

LHT Inc., an infrastructure company, said it never would have spent tens of 
millions of dollars developing delivery pipes for ethanol without the 
mandated increases. "How do we get our money back?" an executive asked.

O.K. Industries, a poultry company in Arkansas upset about rising feed 
costs, said this was the first year since the company was founded during 
the Great Depression that it could not afford to give its employees a wage 
increase.

An agency spokesman said the E.P.A. can approve the request, deny it or 
take a middle path. The deadline is Thursday, but the agency says it needs 
more time to review public comments and formulate a decision.

The agency's authority derives from a 2005 energy law that sets some of the 
most important ethanol quotas. The law says states can petition the agency 
for a reduction in the ethanol mandates on the grounds of severe harm to 
the economy or environment. Decisions must be made after consultation with 
the secretaries of energy and agriculture.

Ethanol is under siege from other quarters. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison, 
Republican of Texas, has introduced legislation calling for a freeze of the 
mandate at the current level, saying it "is clearly causing unintended 
consequences on food prices." The measure is co-sponsored by 11 other 
Republican senators, including John McCain, the presumptive presidential 
nominee.

The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, testified last week that "it 
would be helpful" to remove a 51-cent-a-gallon tariff on imported Brazilian 
ethanol. If Brazilian ethanol enters the United States market, domestic 
producers argue, the industry will suffer.

In a new report, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development 
is critical of biofuels, saying further development will raise food prices 
while doing little for energy security.

But the attempts to undercut ethanol are proving divisive. Mr. Perry said 
he hoped the other 49 governors would join him, but was able to cite only 
one that had: Gov. M. Jodi Rell of Connecticut. (A spokesman for Mrs. Rell 
declined to offer a full-fledged endorsement of Mr. Perry's initiative, 
saying she supported a modification of the mandate but had not made any 
specific proposals.)

In ethanol's home ground of the Midwest, where much of the corn is grown 
and the additive is made, Mr. Perry's petition was opposed by 12 governors. 
Senator Charles Grassley, Republican of Iowa, accused the Grocery 
Manufacturers Association, the group leading the public relations fight 
against ethanol, of "treasonous" acts.

Mr. Perry is also being accused of bad motives. The Houston Chronicle 
reported that his interest in a rollback developed after Lonnie Pilgrim, 
senior chairman of the East Texas chicken company Pilgrim's Pride, donated 
$100,000 to the Republican Governors Association, of which Mr. Perry is the 
chairman.

The governor brushed aside such concerns. "I have always been of the 
position that when your opposition has to point to a political contribution 
rather than trying to make their debate on the issues, they might be 
losing," he said.

Corn growers and ethanol producers believe they are being made scapegoats 
for failed economic and energy policies. Corn futures have already dropped 
sharply from the record highs set a month ago. Midwest weather has been 
favorable in recent weeks, raising expectations for the size and quality of 
the crop.

Mark Williams, who grows corn on 2,500 acres in the Texas panhandle, dreads 
a further price drop. "Our costs have increased so much, we need a pretty 
good price to make a little living," he said. Furthermore, he added that it 
would be unfair to change the rules at this point. "We bought fertilizer 
and corn seed, decided our crop mix on the basis of ethanol being where it 
was. To change that mandate in the middle of our growing season, that's 
really not right."

A cut in the mandate might be the beginning of a slippery slope that could 
mark the end for ethanol, said Lee Reeve, one of the pioneers of the 
industry. His Garden City, Kan., plant has been in operation since 1982. 
"If this goes through, I guarantee you that by next Thursday there would be 
arguments about how we should get rid of the mandate entirely," he said. 
"And where are you going to find the oil to replace eight or nine billion 
gallons of ethanol?"


================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu

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