Telecom sector braces for Democratic change

Fri Oct 31, 2008 9:07pm EDT

By Kim Dixon
Reuters News Analyst

http://www.reuters.com/articlePrint?articleId=USTRE49U80520081101


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A Democratic sweep in Tuesday's U.S. elections 
may clear the way for changes to Internet policy sought by Google Inc 
that would bar Internet providers from discriminating against some Web 
content.

The "net neutrality" issue pits Internet service providers (ISPs) like 
Comcast Corp and AT&T against content companies like Google and 
Microsoft Corp.

"Probably the thing that scares the industry the most about a Democratic 
administration is regulating the Internet," Dan Hesse, chief executive 
of Sprint Nextel, said in a speech in Washington on October 24.

Prices for cable television, Internet advertising and privacy are other 
issues likely to move forward if the Democrats win more seats in 
Congress, as expected. A win by Democratic presidential candidate Barack 
Obama in the November 4 poll would add further steam and give Democrats 
a majority on the Federal Communications Commission.

Obama takes the side of net neutrality backers, who say ISPs should not 
be able to discriminate against certain types of Internet traffic 
requiring more bandwidth, such as the downloading of movies, or block 
certain content altogether.

But Internet providers say government involvement in the Internet will 
amount to its nationalization and they need to be able to take 
reasonable steps to control traffic. Republican presidential candidate 
John McCain opposes net neutrality.

A bill mandating some network requirements failed to move in Congress 
this year, and Comcast sued the FCC, saying the agency exceeded its 
authority by ruling Comcast violated net neutrality principles by 
blocking certain applications.

Google Chief Executive Eric Schmidt is one of Obama's supporters and 
backs a law on neutrality.

"We prefer a law. At the same time, there are lots of ways to promote 
market discipline and the threat of law may go a long way toward getting 
us there," said Alan Davidson, Google's chief lobbyist.

TRACK RECORD

McCain led the powerful Senate Commerce Committee for several years 
beginning in the late 1990s. He was the sole Senate Republican to vote 
against a 1996 law requiring big phone companies to lease their phone 
networks to rivals to spur local competition.

He also sponsored a bill that would have taken away the FCC's ability to 
halt telecom mergers that were not in the public interest.

"In general, McCain takes the side of the telecom companies," said 
Nicholas Thompson, a fellow at the New America Foundation and writer for 
Wired magazine. He wrote a recent article with the opening sentence: 
"John McCain is an AT&T guy; Barack Obama is a Google guy."

Indeed, donors associated with AT&T were the seventh biggest bloc giving 
to McCain in the current election cycle and Google-linked donors were 
the fifth biggest group of contributors to Obama, according to the 
Center for Responsive Politics, which tracks political spending.

An industry official, who is a self-described Democrat, cautioned 
against broad assumptions about the candidates, pointing to Obama's use 
of the Internet to raise money, and his pledge to use broadband to spur 
economic development.

"It's wrong to think an Obama Administration would be knee- jerk against 
the very companies that are building the platform for growth," this 
person said.

Obama has also called for using funds that now finance universal 
telephone service to bring broadband to places where it is not 
economically viable, like rural areas.

The bits, bytes and bandwidth of telecommunications policy have 
traditionally been less partisan issues in Washington than defense or 
healthcare, said analysts and industry sources.

"Certainly if a member has a vibrant technology sector in their state or 
district, by definition they will have a pretty good understanding of 
the role that high technology plays in the economy," regardless of 
party, said Jack Krumholtz, Microsoft Corp's  chief lobbyist.

COMMITTEE FLUX

Even if Democrats improve their majorities in Congress as expected, 
major changes are expected in the leadership of the Senate Commerce 
Committee that oversees communications issues.

"That will be one thing to affect the industry the most from a 
Congressional standpoint," said another industry source.

A game of musical chairs could take place in the next Congress come 
January if current commerce chairman, Democratic Sen. Daniel Inouye of 
Hawaii, were to move to the appropriations panel. Under various 
scenarios, the commerce chairmanship could go to either Sen. John Kerry, 
John Rockefeller or Byron Dorgan.

Changes may also be in store for Republicans on the Senate Commerce 
Committee. The current ranking Republican, Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska, 
may not survive a tight reelection fight after being recently convicted 
on felony corruption charges.

Internet privacy issues are likely to receive continued attention next 
year. Democrats held a hearing this year on whether consumers should be 
able to stop their online behavior from being tracked.

AT&T and Verizon have agreed not to track consumer behavior online 
unless consumers "opt-in" to do so. Google says it can't be compared to 
Internet providers and backs self-regulation.

Cable companies like Comcast have reason to fear a McCain presidency. He 
has pushed for them to sell individual channels to customers "a la 
carte," so they can get just the programing they want, a proposal the 
cable industry fervently opposes.

The demand for regulation in the turbulent financial sector could also 
spill over into communication issues.

"If one looks at macro trends, regulation is making a comeback," said 
Blair Levin, an analyst at Stifel Nicolaus and once a chief of staff to 
former Democratic FCC Chairman Reed Hundt. "The default position of 'we 
don't know what to do, let's deregulate' is fading away."

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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