Supercomputers Break Petaflop Barrier, Transforming Science

By Betsy Mason
Wired News

November 18, 2008 | 8:24:15 PM

http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2008/11/supercomputers.html


A new crop of supercomputers is breaking down the petaflop speed 
barrier, pushing high-performance computing into a new realm that could 
change science more profoundly than at any time since Galileo, leading 
researchers say.

When the Top 500 list of the world's fastest supercomputers was 
announced at the international supercomputing conference in Austin, 
Texas, on Monday, IBM had barely managed to cling to the top spot, 
fending off a challenge from Cray. But both competitors broke petaflop 
speeds, performing 1.105 and 1.059 quadrillion floating-point 
calculations per second, the first two computers to do so.

These computers aren't just faster than those they pushed further down 
the list, they will enable a new class of science that wasn't possible 
before. As recently described in Wired magazine, these massive number 
crunchers will push simulation to the forefront of science.

Scientists will be able to run new and vastly more accurate models of 
complex phenomena: Climate models will have dramatically higher 
resolution and accuracy, new materials for efficient energy transmission 
will be developed and simulations of scramjet engines will reach a new 
level of complexity.

"The scientific method has changed for the first time since Galileo 
invented the telescope (in 1609)," said computer scientist Mark Seager 
of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

Supercomputing has made huge advances over the last decade or so, 
gradually packing on the ability to handle more and more data points in 
increasingly complex ways. It has enabled scientists to test theories, 
design experiments and predict outcomes as never before. But now, the 
new class of petaflop-scale machines is poised to bring about major 
qualitative changes in the way science is done.

"The new capability allows you to do fundamentally new physics and 
tackle new problems," said Thomas Zacharia, who heads up computer 
science at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee, home of the 
second place Cray XT5 Jaguar supercomputer. "And it will accelerate the 
transition from basic research to applied technology."

Breaking the petaflop barrier, a feat that seemed astronomical just two 
years ago, won't just allow faster computations. These computers will 
enable entirely new types of science that couldn't have been done 
before. This new generation of petascale machines will move scientific 
simulation beyond just supporting the two main branches of science, 
theory and experimentation, and into the foreground. Instead of just 
hypotheses being tested with experiments and observations, large-scale 
extrapolation and prediction of things we can't observe or that would be 
impractical for an experiment, will become central to many scientific 
endeavors.

"It's getting to the point where simulation is actually the third branch 
of science," Seager said. "We say that nature is always the arbiter of 
truth, but it turns out our ability to observe nature is fundamentally 
limited."

Climate modeling is one area that is ripe for a boost. In the past 
couple years, the general public has come around to the idea that 
climate change is real, and scientists are moving on to the potential 
impacts, how we might adapt and the technology that will help us cope. 
To do this in any meaningful way, the predictive models need to have a 
much higher resolution and be much more precise.

"These kinds of questions require much higher fidelity than we had 
before," Zacharia said. "Very important decisions are going to be made 
by policy makers based on this science."

Bluegene_10 Currently, the state of Tennessee, which is more than 400 
miles long, is represented by only two pixels in most global climate 
models. The new computers will drastically increase resolution, in both 
space and time, and improve accuracy.

In the race to achieve this promise, Oak Ridge had made a push to top 
the speed list this year with its Cray XT5 Jaguar, but Los Alamos 
National Laboratory in New Mexico tweaked its IBM Roadrunner to get just 
enough more juice to keep the crown. Both more than doubled the 
performance of Livermore Lab's BlueGene/L IBM computer that led the pack 
a year ago.

Though there may be disappointment in Oak Ridge over losing by a nose, 
the lab also has the eighth fastest computer, a smaller version of the 
Jaguar. When combined with its bigger sibling in the next few weeks, the 
Jaguar will boost the lab's total capability to around 1.6 petaflops. In 
the same one-acre room resides the 15th fastest computer, and Oak Ridge 
is in the process of assembling yet another supercomputer for the 
National Science Foundation. All told, the lab could reach 2.5 petaflops.


=================[BOXED FEATURE]==================

Speeds and Feeds: Oak Ridge's Jaguar Supercomputer:

    * Type: The Cray XT computer is a distributed-memory massively 
parallel MIMD supercomputer.

    * What Is It: A petaflop computer can process one quadrillion 
floating-point calculations per second. That's 1,000,000,000,000,000 
calculations every second.

    * Processors: 182,000 AMD quad-core Opterons, running at 2.3 gigahertz.

    * Memory Capacity: 362 terabytes of memory (with 578 terabytes per 
second of memory bandwidth).

    * OS: Cray XTs run UNICOS/lc, a flavor of Unix with networking and 
file-system enhancements from BSD.

    * Recent History: The peak performance for a supercomputer has more 
than doubled in the last year, from 0.5 petaflops to the current high of 
1.1.

    * The Future: Raymond Kurzweil believes the human brain has a power 
of 10 petaflops. By Kurzweil's reckoning, we should equal the human 
brain's calculating power in less than 7 years.
=====================================================


But it's not just about the speed.

"This is not an Olympic sprint where somebody gets a medal at the end," 
Zacharia said. "That's not the point."

The Jaguar was designed to be optimal for science. Oak Ridge surveyed 
scientists in many fields including energy, climate and combustion, and 
built the computer to suit their needs. It has three times the memory 
capacity of any other computer, Zacharia said -- 362 terabytes of memory.

The designers paid special attention to making the transition to Jaguar 
as easy as possible for scientists, allowing them to use applications 
they have already developed instead of spending years coding new ones to 
suit the computer.

"I believe we have the best, most capable computer in the world for 
science," he said.

Only fully assembled in early September, nine months ahead of schedule, 
Jaguar has already helped scientists who have been eagerly anticipating 
the petaflop capability.

"The past six weeks we have already run many of the scientific 
applications people have been waiting for for a long time," Zacharia said.

Jaguar and its peers, which will undoubtedly be multiplying in the 
coming years -- Livermore Lab is currently assembling a petaflop 
computer that will join the club in 2011 -- promise to take some 
scientific fields to the next level by enabling far more complex 
simulations. This in turn will inspire scientists to imagine new 
questions, which will in turn need even bigger supercomputers to answer.

"That's exactly how science thrives on these big facilities," Zacharia 
said. "Any fundamentally new science facility captivates and drives the 
imaginations of scientists worldwide."

Jaguar's power will be unleashed on scientific problems including drug 
discovery, photovoltaics and new materials. A single simulation will be 
able to handle every aspect of a complex problem, such as the 
performance of a scramjet engine, including the airflow around it, its 
internal combustion, the strength of its materials, the effect of 
intense heat and aerodynamic forces.

"With the advent of petaflop computing, it's possible to do this 
simulation," said Seager, who is collaborating with scientists at other 
labs and universities to do just that.

Today's computer scientists can barely contain their excitement as they 
imagine what is now possible.

"It's very exciting to be alive today and doing computer science," 
Seager said. "Now we can do some spectacular things."

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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