March 19, 2009

I.B.M., Looking to Buy Sun, Sets Up a Software Strategy
By STEVE LOHR and ASHLEE VANCE
NY Times

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/19/technology/companies/19sun.html?ref=technology&pagewanted=print


I.B.M.’s interest in acquiring the server computer maker Sun 
Microsystems for nearly $7 billion may seem at first to be a reversal of 
its recent efforts to move away from the hardware business.

But analysts say there is more to Sun than servers, which are used in 
corporate data centers. They say its strengths in software, systems 
design and research make it an attractive target.

The price tag being discussed by the companies works out to nearly $10 a 
share, a person with knowledge of the negotiations said on Wednesday. 
That is approximately twice Sun’s closing price on Tuesday. Shares of 
Sun surged nearly 79 percent Wednesday on news of the negotiations, to 
close at $8.89.

I.B.M. has pared back its dependence on hardware, where profit gains 
have declined, while increasing its investment in higher-margin software 
and services businesses. It sold off its personal computer business to 
Lenovo of China in 2005, and its hard-disk drive unit to Hitachi of 
Japan in 2003.

Sun has a solid share of the market for server computers used in 
corporate data centers, but it too has been trying to expand in more 
profitable businesses. While it is struggling financially today, the 
Silicon Valley company has long been a source of technological innovation.

Sun created both the Solaris operating system, a version of Unix, and 
Java, an Internet-era programming language and related software tools. 
Java is the teaching language in most of computer science, and software 
programs written in Java are widely used in things like data centers and 
cellphones.

“The technologies of greatest interest to I.B.M. are Java and Solaris, 
and those are notably not hardware technologies,” said David M. Smith, 
an analyst at Gartner.

I.B.M. uses Java extensively in its big software group, which trails 
only Microsoft in size. It has its own Java-based tools for software 
developers, called Eclipse, and at times it has clashed with Sun, 
potentially weakening the Java camp as an alternative to Microsoft’s 
Windows software and tools.

If it acquired Sun, I.B.M. “would unify those warring groups and make 
for a stronger front against Microsoft,” said Michael A. Cusumano, a 
professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Sloan School of 
Management.

Both I.B.M. and Sun boast sizable communities of third-party software 
developers who write programs using their technology. An estimated one 
million programmers use Sun’s technology, while I.B.M.’s vast software 
business claims eight million.

Both companies not only support Java, but are also backers of the 
open-source operating system Linux, a rival to Microsoft’s Windows in 
data centers and on some desktop personal computers. In 2008, Sun 
increased its commitment to open-source software by paying about $1 
billion for MySQL, a company distributing an open-source database that 
is used in Web commerce sites.

Still, Sun’s server business means that the merger, if completed, would 
be a major consolidation in the machines that power corporate data 
centers — and it would certainly invite antitrust scrutiny.

News of the talks between the two companies was first reported in The 
Wall Street Journal. I.B.M. would not comment. Sun’s chairman, Scott 
McNealy, said in an e-mail message: “As always, I don’t comment on 
rumors, no matter how accurate or silly they may be.”

Despite its innovations in software, Sun has been unable to arrest the 
erosion in the profitability of its mainstay server business. That 
business had long been based on Sun’s proprietary hardware designs, and 
its high-end machines still are.

The profits in proprietary servers have been under steady pressure from 
machines run by lower-cost microprocessors, made by Intel and Advanced 
Micro Devices, using personal computer technology. The leading makers of 
these industry-standard servers are Hewlett-Packard and Dell.

The price pressure as servers turn into commodity products has prompted 
the major server makers to move into software and services. They are 
particularly focusing on supplying the technology and expertise to 
operate corporate data centers more efficiently and with less power. 
Sometimes they supply computing services to business users much as 
Google does to consumers, a style of data-center service known as cloud 
computing.

“For years, Sun has been fighting against the commoditization wave,” 
said Nicholas G. Carr, an industry analyst and author of “The Big 
Switch,” a book published last year about cloud computing. “But building 
private cloud-computing environments for corporations looks like a much 
more lucrative business for all the major server companies. That way, 
they are not just selling generic boxes, but also higher-level 
engineering, which is more profitable.”

Sun came to the view last year that linking up with another large 
company would be its best future. That is when its representatives began 
talking to other companies, including I.B.M., according to a person 
involved in the discussions.

If the companies agree on a bid, an antitrust review will begin. The 
principal issue, legal experts say, will be how regulators define the 
server market. Together, I.B.M. and Sun would have about 65 percent of 
the market for server computers running the Unix operating system and 42 
percent of the total server market, measured by the dollar value of the 
market.

But viewed by numbers of server computers sold, I.B.M. and Sun would 
have only 18 percent of the market, according to I.D.C., a market 
research firm. That is because Hewlett-Packard and Dell are the leaders 
in lower-cost industry-standard servers, which sell in far higher 
numbers than Unix machines.

Combined, the companies would hold nearly all of the $1-billion-a-year 
market for specialized robotic systems that handle tape storage for 
mainframe computers, according to Robert Amatruda, an I.D.C. analyst.

Antitrust enforcement tends to be less rigorous in bad economic times, 
in the interests of keeping business activity going. But legal experts 
said that each antitrust merger review is a separate case, based on 
specific facts.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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