Is Comcast’s Xfinity TV a Trojan Horse?

By RYAN LAWLER
GigaOm.com

Published: October 26, 2010

http://www.nytimes.com/external/gigaom/2010/10/27/27gigaom-is-comcasts-xfinity-tv-a-trojan-horse-65031.html?ref=technology


Comcast took the beta tag off its Xfinity TV service yesterday, making 
the online video service available to all of its pay TV subscribers, 
regardless of their ISP. Take that one step further, with Comcast 
offering Xfinity TV as a paid service to consumers that don’t already 
live in its service area, and you mark the beginning of the end for pay 
TV being tied to the physical cable plant.

So far, Xfinity has been offered to Comcast’s existing subscribers in 
what looks like a defensive maneuver to keep them from cutting the cord. 
With average cable subscriptions edging above $70 (and anecdotal 
evidence suggesting that many subscribers pay well north of $100), 
companies like Comcast have rolled out TV Everywhere services as a way 
to give more value to customers, by allowing them to watch cable content 
online.

Comcast now boasts more than 150,000 videos from 90 different content 
partners, but the real key to Xfinity TV is the content available only 
to Comcast customers. The whole idea behind TV Everywhere is that 
subscribers will also get access to online content in addition to what 
they pay for through linear cable programming.

While that service was once offered only to customers that paid for 
cable and high-speed Internet, Comcast is now making Xfinity TV online 
available to pay TV subscribers even if they use another ISP for 
broadband. That still limits the potential number of TV subscribers to 
those that live in residential areas that Comcast has infrastructure and 
provides service to. So what if Xfinity TV weren’t tied to Comcast’s 
physical cable plant at all?

With access to a wealth of streaming content already, Comcast could 
offer up an over-the-top video service in markets that it doesn’t 
already serve, and it could do so without building out the costly 
network infrastructure or getting the franchise agreements usually 
required. Comcast could finally become bigger than its actual network 
footprint, and it could add users as opposed to watching them defect to 
competitive IPTV, satellite (and increasingly) online offerings.

Since it wouldn’t be paying for network infrastructure, it could (again, 
theoretically) undercut those local competitors with a cheaper online 
offering and still provide much of the content that is important to its 
viewers on-demand. Like Netflix,, it would essentially compete against 
other cable providers, using their own data networks to do so. Not just 
that, but if and when its merger with NBC Universal goes through, it 
would be able to include that content as well.

Comcast has downplayed this point in its communications to the FCC 
seeking approval of the merger, saying that online video today isn’t 
truly competitive to cable TV, nor will it be anytime soon. In defending 
the deal, Comcast says that its properties, combined with NBCU and its 
stake in Hulu, make up only a small portion of online video viewing and 
ad revenue.

But at the same time, Comcast is building an online video powerhouse 
that could totally change the paradigm of how content is consumed and 
delivered. With 150,000 titles and access to content from various 
premium cable networks, Comcast could beat out Netflix, Hulu or any 
other online video service, if only it weren’t tied to the physical 
cable plant.

Granted, not everyone would be on board with such a plan. A Comcast 
spokesperson confirms that the rights negotiated with content partners 
for Xfinity TV tie the availability of online access to a physical pay 
TV subscription. And some cable networks — like HBO, for example — have 
been extremely hesitant to make content available online except as part 
of a TV Everywhere offering.

But in tomorrow’s all-IP, all on-demand world, should it really matter 
if a pay TV subscriber is connected to the local Comcast headend or if 
he gets his content delivered over-the-top through another ISP? In that 
brave new world, it shouldn’t matter to the content owner how his 
content is delivered, merely that it’s bought and paid for.


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George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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