Will Pandora Destroy the Market for Satellite Radio?

Gary Cassady
San Francisco Chronicle

Thursday, May 5, 2011

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/05/05/benzinga1060846.DTL&type=printable


Pandora announced that it will begin offering comedy clips for its 
streaming audio service, marking an important step for the expansion of 
Pandora into the multi-billion-dollar streaming audio market.

In February, Pandora filed the paperwork to conduct an initial public 
offering. The share price is yet to be determined, but Pandora's stated 
goal is to raise $100 million in the offering. Pandora's revenues were 
up roughly 30% last year, though the company continues to lose money on 
a net basis.

Despite operating in the red, Pandora has a user base of 80 million and 
has worked to create applications for every major smart phone. Last 
December, Pandora updated its Android application, owned by Google, so 
as to allow it to integrate with Ford's SYNC application available in 
many new Ford cars.

Pandora's market entry into the comedy space mimics the agreement 
between XM radio and General Motors, as well as the agreement between 
Chrysler and Sirius radio. XM and Sirius merged in July 2008, and the 
stock has been steadily rallying since January 2009. It currently trades 
around $2, which is near the highs of the year.

Pandora has one obvious advantage over Sirius-XM: it's free. Consumers 
wishing to experience premium radio content in their cars have been 
previously limited to shilling out the cash for a Sirius-XM 
subscription; but with Pandora entering the market, many of these 
consumers may wish to opt for the free service and save on expenses.

However, Ford has no formal agreement with Pandora. Nevertheless, 
Pandora's integration with Ford's SYNC is part of a larger strategy to 
integrate Ford vehicles with mobile phones. As Ford innovates in the 
digital integration realm, it seems likely that its competitors will follow.

Ford is currently trading just north of $15. This is a nearly 25% 
decline off its yearly high of $19, though is still significantly above 
its valuation post 2008 economic collapse. Ford's exports may have 
benefited from a declining U.S. dollar.

With today's market entry of Pandora into the comedy market space, many 
are wondering whether stalwarts like Sirius-XM will be able to maintain 
a competitive advantage to innovative start-ups like Pandora. Will 
Pandora destroy the market for satellite radio? Turn the dial to 
Pandora's new customizable comedy station and tell us what you think.

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