Netflix stock falls as talks on Starz deal unravel

Sep 2, 2011   5:49 AM (ET)

By MICHAEL LIEDTKE and RYAN NAKASHIMA
Associated Press

http://apnews.myway.com//article/20110902/D9PGAD8G0.html


SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - Netflix's negotiations to keep a key piece of its 
Internet video library have collapsed, dealing a major blow to the 
largest U.S. video subscription service as it raises the prices for most 
of its 25 million customers. The setback triggered a nearly 9 percent 
drop in Netflix Inc.'s stock price.

Starz Entertainment delivered the bad news Thursday in a terse statement 
announcing that it won't renew a contract that allows Netflix to show a 
lineup of recently released movies and TV shows over high-speed Internet 
connections.

That means Starz content will be removed from Netflix's streaming 
service starting in March. Starz' library includes movies from Walt 
Disney Co.'s assorted studios and, until recently, Sony Corp.

The talks fell apart after the two sides disagreed over the value of the 
Starz content and how it should be sold to Netflix subscribers, 
according to people familiar with the negotiations. The people asked not 
to be identified because they weren't authorized to speak publicly.

The content from Starz' cable TV channel played an instrumental role in 
increasing usage of Netflix's Internet service and helped Netflix add 
nearly 17 million subscribers since the deal was signed in October 2008.

That growth probably wouldn't have happened without the boost that the 
Starz deal gave to Netflix streaming, said Janney Montgomery Scott 
analyst Tony Wible.

"What created (Netflix's success in streaming) is frankly, initially 
getting Starz, getting that content, which got you more subscribers, 
which allowed you to buy more content," Wible said. "The virtuous cycle 
that has made Netflix what it is could work against it. If you lose 
content, you lose subscribers; ... it could be a downward spiral from here."

Netflix had been expected to work out a new contract with Starz, 
although at a much higher price than the estimated $30 million a year 
that it had been paying under the current agreement. Netflix CEO Reed 
Hastings acknowledged earlier this year that the company might have to 
pay as much as $250 million a year to retain the Starz rights when the 
current contract expires in February.

But those hopes were dashed, if not blown up completely, with Thursday's 
bombshell dropped by Starz CEO Chris Albrecht.

The timing of the announcement was seen a way to kick Netflix in the 
shins at a particularly vulnerable time. It came on the first day of a 
new Netflix pricing system that will hit U.S. subscribers with price 
increase of as much as 60 percent if they want to continue to get DVD 
rentals through the mail along with unlimited streaming of Internet 
video. The new pricing system has incensed a large group of Netflix 
subscribers who have threatened to cancel their accounts, a backlash 
that could intensify if it looks like Netflix's streaming library is 
becoming less attractive.

Albrecht said Starz had decided against a renewal "to protect the 
premium nature of our brand by preserving the appropriate pricing and 
packaging of our exclusive and highly valuable content."

The contract renewal talks broke down when Netflix refused to meet 
demands that could have driven up the annual licensing rights to $300 
million or more, according to one person familiar with the negotiations.

A major sticking point arose when Starz insisted its content be 
corralled on a higher-price tier, another person said. Instead of making 
their content available to any Netflix subscriber paying just $8 per 
month, Starz executives wanted viewership limited to people paying at 
least $16 per month for a package that bundles DVD rentals with Internet 
video.

That stipulation was seen as a way to preserve Starz' relationship with 
cable and satellite TV distributors, who include Starz in channel 
packages that cost far more than the $8 monthly fee for Netflix 
streaming. Albrecht said Starz, part of Liberty Media Corp., is in an 
"excellent position" to make more money from other sources besides Netflix.

Netflix tried to downplay the possible loss of the Starz relationship. 
The company, which is based in Los Gatos, Calif., said it would spend 
the $250 million that Hastings had earmarked for the Starz renewal to 
buy audience-pleasing content from other distributors. Hastings has left 
no doubt that he intends to invest heavily in Netflix's Internet video 
library because he wants more subscribers to use that option. That would 
allow Netflix to cut postage and other costs to mail DVD rentals to its 
customers.

As it is, Starz has become less important to Netflix as the service 
expanded its streaming rights. In June, Sony also stopped allowing its 
movies, which include "Easy A" and "Grown Ups," to part of Starz 
streaming in June. Those factors have reduced Starz's share of Netflix 
streaming viewership in the U.S. to 8 percent, according to Netflix.

The rising cost for Internet streaming rights is one of the reasons that 
Netflix raised its prices for people who want to rent DVDs through the 
mail and stream video. The changes don't affect customers who subscribe 
to the streaming-only plan.

Starz's decision to end the talks with Netflix underscores the 
escalating tensions with pay-TV services that view Netflix's popularity 
as a competitive threat. Time Warner Inc. (TWX)'s HBO has consistently 
refused to license its shows for Netflix streaming, and Showtime 
recently has declined to make some of its top series, including "Dexter" 
and "Californication" available to the service.

Morningstar analyst Michael Corty said he thinks Netflix can salvage the 
Starz deal, given there is still six months before the current contract 
expires. To do that, Netflix will likely have to pay even more than it 
intended because Starz appears to have more negotiating leverage, Corty 
said.

Although Albrecht's statement made it sound as if there is little chance 
of a new deal, Netflix left the door open.

"We have tremendous respect for the Starz creative team, and we look 
forward to someday licensing some of their original or licensed 
content," Netflix said in a statement.

The falling out with Starz added to the worries of Netflix investors 
already fretting about the higher prices driving away subscribers. 
Netflix's stock plunged $19.97 to $213.30 in extended trading Thursday, 
after the announcement by Starz.

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