Cambridge's Bluefin Labs decodes social media chatter

Facebook users "like" things 2.7 billion times a day. People share 
their opinions more than 500 million times daily on Twitter. Now, 
this start-up is betting it can change everything from product 
placement to how we elect our president.

By Neil Swidey
NOVEMBER 25, 2012

IN THE 1930S AND '40S, Hollywood had a way of tracking the popularity 
of its movie stars. Studios would sift through the quarter of a 
million or so fan letters that arrived each month and sort them into 
separate bags by actor name. Then studio employees would heave these 
bulging bags onto a scale, according to industry researcher Leo 
Handel. A big spike in weight meant the star was trending up. A sharp 
decline suggested the star was on the way to becoming yesterday's 
news.

As measurements go, this was pretty crude. Even back then, the people 
who would take the time to write a letter represented a tiny subset 
of the population, usually teenagers motivated by an excess of 
adoration (or antipathy). So, in time, movie executives would follow 
the lead of their counterparts in radio, television, and advertising 
and adopt the techniques of opinion research to understand what their 
audiences wanted.

The push toward data collection in television brought us Nielsen 
families, those chosen few whose living room diaries and, eventually, 
People Meters were powerful enough to keep their favorite shows on 
the air. And it brought us the ubiquitous focus group, where a dozen 
unhurried souls would be steered into a conference room and, in 
exchange for 50 bucks and all the M&M's they could eat, be asked to 
render a verdict on a new program.

Yet it hasn't always been clear how much we've gained from this 
relentless pursuit of audience preferences. High Nielsen ratings - 
scores that were extrapolated from just several thousand households - 
kept shows like Three's Company and The Love Boat on the air long 
past their sell-by dates. And I've been suspicious of the focus group 
ever since the seventh grade, when on a trip to New York I somehow 
got shanghaied into testing a sitcom starring Harold Gould as a 
skirt-chasing widower. Against the heated objection of this 
13-year-old out-of-towner, CBS went ahead and aired Foot in the Door 
in 1983, though the network thankfully mercy-killed it after just six 
episodes. What's the point of market research if it regularly leads 
to doozies like that? We might as well bring back the fan-mail scales.

Thanks to social media, thousands of fan letters and complaint 
missives, huzzahs and boos, are now being written every single 
minute. Twitter alone processes half a billion tweets each day. But 
there are problems. As with those letter-writing fans of the past, 
today's social media commenters skew young. And right now, the most 
common methods for tracking their views resemble the "trending by 
weight" measures the old studios favored: Multiple firms tally all 
mentions of a TV show or movie made on social media, then report 
grand totals across general categories. This is useful only to a 
point.

Twitter, Facebook, and other services have already transformed media 
from a one-way conversation into a democratized, constantly churning 
feedback loop. In time, social media hold the promise of exercising 
enormous influence over everything from the shows we watch on TV to 
the toothpaste we buy in the supermarket to the politicians we send 
to Washington. "Social TV" and the "second screen" experience - 
watching the TV set while cradling a smartphone or tablet - may even 
rescue live television viewing from the dustbin into which the DVR 
has swept it.

Yet the only way any of this is going to happen is if somebody can 
reliably convert all that online chatter into meaningful information. 
After all, if someone tweets "the office is making me cry," is that 
person referring to a particularly poignant episode of the NBC comedy 
or a hostile workplace? Even more difficult is discerning sentiment. 
Are most of those millions of mentions about your show praising it or 
panning it? And what if the name of the show isn't even mentioned? 
Making those kinds of interpretations are easy for humans yet 
exceedingly difficult for computers.

But they're learning. A Cambridge start-up called Bluefin Labs is 
marrying the computational power of machines with the interpretive 
guidance of humans to make sense of - and profit from - the fire hose 
of nonstop social media. The company's work builds on the research of 
its two cofounders, MIT guys who have dedicated their professional 
lives to teaching machines to understand human language. Now they are 
using that knowledge to teach machines to understand what we really 
mean when we tweet or post about everyone from President Obama to 
Honey Boo Boo. The outcome just may be as important to the president 
as it is to that cringe-worthy pint-size product of reality TV.

...

http://www.bostonglobe.com/2012/11/25/cambridge-bluefin-labs-decodes-social-media-chatter/SLDp9nflJK0tFQKBPuVZhP/story.html?s_campaign=8315


Bluefin Labs: Decoding online chatter
http://bostonglobe.com/lifestyle/style/2012/11/21/bluefin-labs-the-social-media-eavesdroppers/caE7V0V26bZXBXU9vLPcDM/story.html?s_campaign=8315

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