High on Wifi
Behind Cable's Strategy to Build Out Hotpots

By: Jeff Baumgartner
Multichannel News

May 13 2013 - 12:00am

http://www.multichannel.com/distribution/high-wifi/143257


Hotspots are heating up.

The Wi-Fi networks of U.S. cable operators are multiplying by the day, driven in large part by the five MSOs that formed a “CableWiFi” roaming consortium last year. Those operators — Bright House Communications, Cablevision Systems, Cox Communications, Comcast and Time Warner Cable — have combined to deploy more than 161,400 public access points, according to data compiled by Multichannel News. Much of those deployments are concentrated in parks, cafes, downtown areas and other high-traffic, public “hot zones.”

“As we’ve continued to build, you can see traffic patterns and then you know where you need to fill in further,” Gemma Toner, Cablevision’s senior vice president of broadband product management, said.

Cablevision, which touts the largest Wi-Fi network of the lot, has about 80,000 hotspots deployed in its New York, New Jersey and Connecticut tri-state region. Comcast, with 55,000 — more than double the 25,000 access points it had deployed by the end of 2012 — isn’t far behind.

Most of Time Warner Cable’s 10,000 access points are located in Los Angeles, but in 2013 “our big push is to get the New York City market up and running and to continue our build out in Charlotte and Kansas City and Los Angeles, and probably a couple of other new markets,” TWC senior vice president of corporate development Mike Roudi said.

For now, the Wi-Fi offensive is a retention tool, a way to keep customers loyal and out of the hands of competitors. But much of cable’s effort has an eye toward the future revenues Wi-Fi can bring in. By peppering high-capacity Wi-Fi access points into their service areas, cable operators hope to broaden their reach even further with new technology and tap into lucrative money-making opportunities — particularly as cellular carriers look for ways to keep the amount of data fl owing over their 4G wireless networks in check.

ADDING VALUE TO HSI

“It [Wi-Fi] is 100% to drive or to add value to our high-speed data product offering,” Roudi said. “I want my 10 million-plus high-speed customers to stay with us on our network as long as possible.”

For instance, TWC is deploying Wi-Fi networks in Kansas City and Austin, Texas, markets where it is facing or will soon face off with Google Fiber.

But future revenues could fall outside these initial focus areas. Several MSOs also sell access to nonsubscribers, for example. “It’s not a driver, but it’s something we do. That doesn’t drive anything around how we deploy [Wi-Fi],” Roudi said.

Cablevision, Toner said, just recently started to sell day passes to nonsubscribers on a “very limited basis” in some parks and at Long Island’s MacArthur Airport.

But cable’s Wi-Fi networks also set the stage to sell data-offloading services to mobile carriers that are looking to redirect bits off their shiny, new 4G mobile networks. Cable’s Wi-Fi and plant infrastructure position MSOs to sell access to their own facilities to mobile carriers that are eager to deploy small cells that can boost and concentrate their mobile data coverage.

4G TRAFFIC COP

That sort of scenario would make cable operators start to look like tower companies that lease physical assets to mobile carriers. That strategy is “brand new,” according to David Callisch, vice president of marketing at Ruckus Wireless, a company that sells Wi-Fi gear to MSOs such as TWC and Bright House.

A paper issued last year by Richard Thanki, a doctoral candidate at the U.K.’s University of Southampton, highlighted the opportunity. He suggested that without Wi-Fi, cellular operators would need to build as many as 450,000 new radio base stations, at a staggering cost of $93 billion, to handle the anticipated influx of mobile data traffic.

For now, though, customer retention remains the biggest driver, and for good reason. Cable operators are still adding broadband customers at a healthy clip, but the pace is slowing as the domestic broadband market reaches saturation.

According to Leichtman Research Group (LRG), the top 17 U.S. telcos and MSOs, representing 93% of the market, acquired more than 2.7 million net additional high-speed Internet subscribers in 2012, extending their total to 81.4 million subs. While the number is still rising, those 2.7 million net adds represented 90% of the total net adds in 2011.

“We’re talking about a pretty mature [broadband] market,” Bruce Leichtman, LRG’s president and principal analyst, said. “We’re not talking about a service for the 82nd millionth subscriber. At this point, so many things come down to retention.”

FUTURE TREND: HOME AS A HOTSPOT

Although U.S. cable’s roaming club has deployed more than 161,400 public hotspots, that combined reach falls well short of achieving nationwide, blanket coverage. Based on MCN’s analysis of the Wi-Fi deployments known to be on deck or already well underway, cable systems in those markets serve roughly 11.5 million cable subscribers combined, or about 20.3% of the 56.4 million total video subscribers served by U.S. cable operators at the end of 2012, according to SNL Kagan. This most recent consortium follows a failed attempt at mobile broadband in cable’s Sprint-Clearwire partnership.

Cable’s current partnerships with Verizon Wireless will give MSOs wide mobile coverage, but there is already another way for cable operators to fill in some of the gaps by converting DOCSIS-powered, Wi-Ficapable gateways into quasi-public hotspots. Chip sets in today’s advanced cable gateways already possess the ability to split bandwidth between the home subscriber and authenticated, roaming users. With upgrades, those devices are capable of broadcasting multiple Service Set Identifiers (SSIDs).

“We call it home-as-a-hotspot,” TWC’s Roudi said of this budding strategy. The MSO has deployed a “limited amount” of such gateways, but such products “are very much in our immediate future,” he added.

Turning those gateways into public hotspots doesn’t appear to be a high priority among major U.S. MSOs, though. Bright House “is closely following the progress of other MSOs launching such initiatives,” a spokeswoman for the operator said. “While we find the concept interesting, we have no plans at this time to launch a similar product.”

Added TWC’s Roudi: “We believe that we will get much more value out of deploying our Time Warner Cable Wi-Fi network outside the home, which is where we’re spending all of our energies now.”

Any home-as-a-hotspot strategy comes with intricate scaling and management issues for devices and accounts.

One MSO that has made this strategy a priority is Ziggo, the largest MSO in the Netherlands. In April, Ziggo launched an ambitious national Wi-Fi plan that involves turning almost 1 million wireless home gateways into public “Wifi Spots.” The MSO expects to complete that part of the deployment by the end of August.

After a one-time registration, Ziggo’s software Wi-Fi clients in mobile devices automatically connect to available hotspots, the MSO said. Each home-based Wifi Spot can accommodate up to 20 users simultaneously. The eventual size and scope of Ziggo’s plan will also be determined by how many customers opt out of the program. Citing initial tests in Groningen, Ziggo said less than 1% of customers opted out.

To alleviate customer angst about the idea of sharing access, Ziggo said it has adapted the gateways to ensure total separation between the public Wifi Spot and the home network “so that optimum security and privacy are guaranteed.”

And it’s not just about extending access. The MSO is also developing mobile TV and voice apps for smartphones and tablets that are optimized for Ziggo’s expanding Wi-Fi network, MSO spokesman Martjin Jonker said.

WI-FI’S 1 GIG FUTURE

While 1 Gigabit per second appears to be wireline broadband’s next big speed goal, 1 Gig also happens to be the target of 802.11ac, Wi-Fi’s next iteration. But don’t expect that technology, sometimes referred to by vendors as “5G,” to show up on cable’s public Wi-Fi networks in a big way for a couple of years.

According to Callisch, there are two issues with it: it’s expensive and it won’t necessarily offer those promised speeds right away. He sees 802.11ac emerging with increasing capabilities. “We advise them [cable operators] to deploy it in pockets,” he said of 802.11ac. “MSOs are not as interested in 802.11ac as they are in grabbing footprint and putting access points where they know people want them and need them.”

Most vendors are expected to support Wave 1 802.11ac, even if the value is to supply more aggregate capacity rather than supersonic speed bursts. When Wave 2 hits in 2014 and 2015, “that’s when we’ll see big increases in speeds. But it will require new equipment. Our advice is to [deploy 802.11ac] very sparingly and don’t jump into it,” Callisch said.

Freeing up 5 GHz of spectrum for 802.11ac is already high on the minds of cable operators, though, which worry that the crowded 2.4 GHz band will soon face exhaustion. Indeed, the Federal Communications Commission is now considering new rules to free up 195 MHz of additional spectrum in the 5 GHz band.

“The 5 GHz band represents a crucial resource as the FCC works to alleviate the dramatic shortage in spectrum available for unlicensed services,” Thomas Nagel, the senior vice president of business development and strategy for communications and data at Comcast, noted recently in prepared testimony for a “State of Wireless Communications” Senate hearing.

TAKEAWAY

MSO-run Wi-Fi networks are starting to achieve scale as operators seek ways to mine more value from their broadband networks and tee up potentially lucrative data-offloading deals with mobile carriers.

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George Antunes          Voice (713) 743-3923
Associate Professor     Fax   (713) 743-3927
Political Science       Mail: antunes at uh dot edu
University of Houston
Houston, TX 77204-3011


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