Arabsat Aims to Assure Customers In Wake of Major Launch Failure

By ANDY PASZTOR
Wall Street Journal

March 14, 2006 6:14 p.m.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114237381662098161.html?mod=technology_main_whats_news


LOS ANGELES -- Middle Eastern satellite operator Arabsat, seeking to 
reassure customers and stave off rivals after a major launch failure two 
weeks ago, is considering leasing additional capacity and possibly even 
purchasing a satellite already in orbit.

Confronting the total loss of its newest satellite valued at nearly $200 
million, and with the timing of its next launch uncertain, Arabsat is 
mulling various responses, Chief Executive Khalid Ahmed Balkhyour said in 
an interview. The choices, which have to be made within the next few 
months, include shifting around customers and repositioning part of 
Arabsat's own fleet of four wholly-owned satellites. Other alternatives 
call for securing extra capacity from other operators.

Further down the road, the Arabsat organization, which is based in Riyadh, 
Saudi Arabia, but has participation from more than a dozen other Arab 
countries, intends to spend roughly $500 million to buy and launch a pair 
of more-advanced satellites. But since those won't go into operation until 
late 2008 at the earliest, the immediate focus is on avoiding disruptions. 
Arabsat is reassuring customers, particularly broadcasters, of 
uninterrupted service for the long run.

"All major European satellite operators, plus some from other regions, have 
contacted us" about quickly providing capacity to make up the shortfall, 
Mr. Balkhyour said. "But the gap is not as big as you might expect," he 
said, partly because Arabsat already has a new satellite that will be ready 
for launch "in a few months."

Arabsat has "a contingency plan that involves only our current fleet," Mr. 
Balkhyour said. If Arabsat doesn't get outside offers of capacity "that 
represent an improvement and are viable from a financial or other 
standpoint," he said, the backup plan will be effected.

On March 1, when an upper-stage rocket motor failed to operate properly, a 
Lockheed Martin Corp. and Russian joint venture was forced to leave the 
Arabsat-4A spacecraft in a useless orbit. Neither the Lockheed-led launch 
venture nor the satellite's manufacturer, the Astrium unit of European 
aerospace giant EADS, has publicly indicated the satellite is useless. But 
Arabsat's chief executive said he is in the process of asking insurers for 
compensation covering a total loss.

A spokeswoman for the Lockheed venture said it is premature to discuss 
details of the rocket failure. Russian officials have said they plan to 
finish their assessment by the end of the month.

Under an existing contract, a satellite is slated to be launched on the 
same version of the joint venture's Proton rocket perhaps as soon as late 
summer. However, it's unlikely that Lockheed and its Russian partners will 
finish all of their reviews and implement any necessary fixes by then. And 
if the investigations drag on, Mr. Balkhyour said Arabsat "may go to 
another launch provider."

But such a switch could prove to be difficult, because all of the major 
rocket-launch companies are booked for the rest of the year. And in any 
event, the next satellite, which is even more important strategically for 
Arabsat, still must go through final testing. Arabsat faces substantial 
capital expenditures since its satellite fleet ranges in age from seven to 
10 years.

As the region's largest operator carrying more than 230 television 
channels, Arabsat was counting on the now-worthless satellite to help it 
compete against rivals, including Egypt-based Nilesat Co. The satellite was 
designed to provide direct-to-home television services, Internet 
connections and high-definition video programming. It was intended to 
replace outmoded capacity on Arabsat-owned and leased satellites. Since the 
failure, industry officials say Nilesat has tried to lure customers away 
from Arabsat.

As part of its response, Arabsat soon expects to exercise an option to have 
Astrium manufacture an identical, fast-track replacement for the lost 
satellite.

Meanwhile, larger operators such as PanAmSat Holding Corp. of the U. S. and 
France's Eutelsat S.A. have offered in-orbit capacity, industry officials 
said. But to avoid steep price hikes, Arabsat faces the challenge of 
demonstrating it has other viable options.

Arabsat's chief executive said his organization is "not closing the door" 
to partnerships and alliances with other operators in and out of the 
region. But in terms of mergers or acquisitions, he said "I don't foresee 
anything in the near future."


================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



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