April 23, 2006, 7:20PM

Choosing from the cable menu
Viewers face new decisions

By MIKE MCDANIEL
Houston Chronicle

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ent/tv/3813839.html


A la carte or status quo? That is the question facing the cable television 
industry.

Powerful people in Washington, including Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and 
Federal Communications Commission chairman Kevin Martin, believe a la carte 
cable would not only trim a subscriber's monthly bill — currently averaging 
between $48 and $49 in Houston, according to Time Warner — but also allow 
consumers to decide which channels are allowed in their homes.

McCain, chairman of the Senate Commerce Committee, plans to introduce a 
bill this week that would free new cable competitors from local franchising 
regulations. In the House, U.S. Rep. Nathan Deal (R-Ga.) has said he will 
offer legislation allowing consumers to choose the channels they want.

But powerful people in business, including the CEOs of cable carriers and 
cable networks, believe pick-and-choose would cost consumers more. They 
also say a la carte cable would starve niche channels, which rely on the 
current bundling, or tiered, system of carriage to stay in business.

The a la carte issue, as old as cable TV, has become news again because of 
a February FCC report that refutes claims made in a 2004 FCC study that 
suggested a la carte would indeed lead to higher cable bills and the 
shutting down of niche channels.

What happened between 2004 and 2006 to merit the newer report? The chairman 
of the FCC changed. Out went Michael Powell in January 2005. In came Martin 
in March 2005. Both are appointees of President Bush, but Powell took more 
of a pro-business approach while Martin seems more interested in social change.

Martin decided to revisit the 2004 FCC report. He believed there could be a 
different outcome.

There was. The February report cited several mistakes in the 2004 study. 
One was a math error that, corrected, shows a subscriber could receive as 
many as 20 channels, including six broadcast channels, and see their 
monthly bills decrease by 3 percent to 13 percent.

"The chairman is not advocating a pure a la carte system, per se," said an 
FCC official speaking on his behalf. "What he's saying is that there are 
different ways to implement an a la carte pricing option for consumers that 
would benefit the consumer. He's saying you could do a la carte or tiers. 
Maybe some consumers would choose the tiers they currently get, simply 
because it's easier than changing."

Martin also sees a la carte as an answer to viewers who say they receive 
unwanted and profane programming under the bundling method the cable 
companies currently employ.

In a preemptive move in this regard, Time Warner and other cable companies 
recently introduced a "family friendly" tier of 16 G-rated channels.

The tier contained no sports or movie networks, nor such offerings as 
History Channel or Cartoon Network, because there's no guarantee those 
channels won't cross the G-rated line. (Indeed, Cartoon Network offers 
adult programming during late-night hours.)

Cable companies also claim that they have made it possible for digital 
subscribers to set parental controls and have spent millions in advertising 
that capability. Still, fewer than 4 percent of their customers make use of it.

Martin said he has "legitimate concerns" about the "family friendly" tiers 
that were offered. He has the backing of the Parents Television Council and 
other conservative groups.

"We believe the family tier is a product that's designed to fail," said Dan 
Isett, PTC's director of corporate and government affairs. "It does nothing 
to solve the problem, which is that families are not free to decide for 
themselves what constitutes a family tier."

A la carte opponents largely come from within the cable television industry.

"The overwhelming body of evidence clearly shows that consumers will pay 
more and get less with a la carte," says George Bodenheimer, co-chair of 
Disney Media Networks and president of ESPN Inc. and ABC Sports.

"What people are talking about having us do would be tantamount to asking 
the Houston Chronicle to break the newspaper up and sell it by the 
section," says Ron McMillan, president of Time Warner Houston. "As a 
consumer I may say I don't read anything but the sports and business pages, 
so I just want those two sections, and I don't want to pay full price."

A la carte opponents say a change in the economic model would be fatal to 
all but the biggest channels.

The History Channel, VH1, National Geographic and Hallmark would have to 
charge as much as HBO to continue.

And because network revenue would decline, so would the number of original 
programs.

The FCC's February report suggests that the market should dictate a show's 
survival.

"If a switch to a la carte eliminated such programming," the report states, 
"the result would not be a blow to program diversity but rather a 
restoration of programming to an efficient level, more consistent with 
consumer value."

Ironically, technology is advancing so quickly that the a la carte plan may 
be irrelevant before it's even enacted.

"I don't think it's necessary to push a la carte because in various ways 
it's going to happen as we see many more ways of distributing video," says 
Michael Rogers.

Rogers, former head of the Washington Post Company's new media division and 
currently a columnist on MSNBC.com, believes the proliferation of platforms 
— cell phones, iTunes and especially the Internet — has already made a la 
carte a nonissue.

But Time Warner's McMillan thinks the same issues will linger because of 
the cable industry's business structure.

"The next step is something called 'switch digital,' " he says of a plan 
that joins television and the Internet. "But even then I don't think we're 
going to be able to set aside the contracts we've got with all of our 
suppliers and say (to the consumer), 'You're going to be able to buy this a 
la carte.' You would have to renegotiate all those contracts.

"And if I own Speed Channel (an auto racing network), what do you think I'm 
going to ask for that programming on an a la carte basis versus a broadcast 
basis as part of a tier? They're going to ask for more money. The reason: 
They're going to be taking a bigger risk because that channel won't be 
grouped with other channels. (The smaller channels) believe, and I concur, 
this would hurt their ability to draw advertising."

Rogers thinks that even if the cable companies figure out a new way of 
doing business, all cable channels — not just smaller, niche networks — are 
in jeopardy.

"Nothing happens as quickly as futurists say it will," he says, "but it's 
pretty clear a major shakeout is coming in terms of how video gets into the 
home."





================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



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