Countdown Starts for Satellite Giant
Merged Intelsat-PanAmSat Must Meet Tough Demands From Private-Equity Firms

By ANDY PASZTOR
Wall Street Journal

July 3, 2006; Page C3

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB115187800552796539.html?mod=technology_main_promo_left


Consolidation and cost cutting have swept across the commercial-satellite 
industry, but surviving operators are finding growth opportunities as 
elusive as ever.

Intelsat Ltd. and PanAmSat Holding Corp. are set to complete a $3.2 billion 
merger today, creating a closely held company whose fleet of more than 50 
orbiting spacecraft will make it the largest and most diversified global 
satellite-services operator. The transaction is the end game of three years 
of intense deal making by prominent private-equity firms on both sides of 
the Atlantic. The combined company's performance will show how effective 
the private owners will be in balancing cost cutting with creative 
investments and strategies for boosting revenue and profit over the long haul.

With offerings that include direct-to-home television broadcasting and 
support for classified U.S.-government operations, the enlarged Intelsat 
has promised to shrug off the industry's staid image by exploiting 
burgeoning technologies. Investors who just purchased some $3 billion in 
high-yield bonds from the two firms will demand significant synergies, 
little geographic overlap and streamlined management bent on revving up 
growth in unconventional ways, if necessary.

But a close look at the business shows how tough it will be to meet those 
demands. In an industry with huge capital-investment needs and average 
annual growth rates hovering around 3% or less, the combined company faces 
major integration, personnel and marketing challenges to break out of that 
historical slow-growth pattern.

Indeed, before Apax Partners & Co. and the other private-equity owners of 
Intelsat bid for PanAmSat last August, they agonized over whether the 
satellite industry could produce the growth rates such investors typically 
expect. There is reason for concern: In the past, PanAmSat has had to rely 
on small bits of revenue from specialty consulting contracts -- a minor 
part of its business -- to meet closely watched revenue guidance for a 
particular quarter.

The combining companies insist they can make a go of it: "This is not going 
to be satellite operations as usual," incoming Chairman Joseph Wright vowed 
during an industry conference earlier this year. Mr. Wright has advocated 
investments that blur the line between space and ground-based systems to 
better serve consumers. PanAmSat is even experimenting with distributing 
ethnic programming it owns to various cable-TV systems.

Wall Street, while recognizing the benefits of fresh investment dollars, 
has doubts about satellite-industry strategy.

The emergence of private-equity groups as owners has created "a much larger 
field of banks willing to participate" in satellite debt and equity 
offerings, according to Carol Goldstein, head of telecommunications and 
media at ABN Amro Inc. But Heidi Wood, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, said 
many remain skeptical about space projects.

PanAmSat of Wilton, Conn., posted revenue of $213.2 million, up 2.1%, for 
the first quarter. Intelsat, which is based in Bermuda but has its 
headquarters in Washington, reported a 4% drop in overall revenue to $280.4 
million.

The new company is betting big on expanding its business in India and Latin 
America. At the same time, it hopes to participate in the drive to turn 
cellular phones and other mobile devices into Internet connections and 
entertainment centers. With phone and cable rivals maneuvering to tap many 
of the same markets, satellite firms are searching for novels ways to 
expand their reach.

The biggest immediate financial boost is likely to come from a nearly 40% 
cut in the combined company's work force, a process that is under way but 
will take as long as 18 months to play out. Total head count eventually 
will dive to about 1,000 from 1,400 or so, with PanAmSat executives largely 
overseeing marketing efforts and Intelsat officials primarily in charge of 
technical and operating issues.

Mr. Wright, who served as PanAmSat's chief executive, said last week that 
early personnel decisions will make it easier for the combination for 
proceed. "The major cuts have been made on the front end," he said, with 
the aim of easing employee uncertainty and boosting the morale of those who 
are staying.

David McGlade, Intelsat's chief executive, who will keep the same title at 
the merged company, stressed in a separate interview that sustainable 
growth is the company's ultimate goal rather than cost cutting. That means 
smarter, smaller bets on new markets, combined with "a lot more discipline 
than either company has had before," he added.

For the next quarter or two, however, some veteran insiders anticipate 
lackluster results. Combined year-over-year revenue may be flat or even 
take a dip, they predict, as integration efforts sap momentum from 
marketing campaigns and other sales initiatives.

The satellite companies that succeed will have to avoid the mistakes of the 
1990s, when "indiscriminate cash was thrown" at economically flawed 
projects, said Andrew Sukawaty, chief executive of Inmarsat Ltd., which 
provides satellite services to ships and other mobile users.


=================================================
George Antunes                    Voice (713) 743-3923
Associate Professor               Fax   (713) 743-3927
Political Science                    Internet: antunes at uh dot edu
University of Houston
Houston, TX 77204-3011         



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