July 6, 2006

The Not-So-Small Small Screen
By DAMON DARLIN
NY Times

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/06/technology/06screen.html?8dpc=&_r=1&oref=slogin&pagewanted=print


Samsung Electronics thought it won the bragging rights this year as maker 
of the world's biggest TV, with a 102-inch plasma screen, but Panasonic 
beat it by one inch. Samsung does have the largest plasma screen in stores, 
a 63-inch screen.

As it stands now, Sharp Electronics boasts of making the biggest 
liquid-crystal-display TV for sale, a 65-inch Aquos. It would be the 
biggest TV on the market if not for Samsung's 72-inch rear-projection TV. 
"We have the capability to build L.C.D. TV's much larger," said Bob 
Scaglione, senior vice president for marketing in Sharp's consumer 
electronics marketing group.

The title of maker of the biggest screen will constantly change hands, but 
one thing is certain: TV's will keep getting larger. Market analysts at 
Quixel Research of Portland, Ore., say many consumers now want a screen 50 
to 55 inches. It projects that by 2009 the sweet spot will have shifted to 
a 60-inch screen. "That suggests the consumer doesn't have a maximum size," 
Mr. Scaglione said. "Maybe it will happen for an 80- or 90-inch screen."

Just how big is too big for a TV screen? Such an idea is anathema among TV 
executives.

"Can it be too large?" asked Phil Abram, Sony's vice president for 
television marketing. "Only in the sense that it overwhelms the room you 
are in. As a TV guy, I have trouble in my heart believing that a TV can 
overpower a room."

You wouldn't think that size matters, especially with new homes built ever 
bigger. The average new home is 2,434 square feet, 62 percent larger than a 
home built in 1970, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

But within the walls of the big new homes, changes are occurring that 
affect how people will watch TV. Some trends will make it easier to fit in 
a screen as big as 103 inches. Others will make it trickier to find the 
right spot for even the sought-after 50-inch screen.

A consumer might easily have space for a big screen in a home theater or 
media room. About 10 percent of homes are being built with a media room, 
the home builders' association said — although in many cases, it is just 
another name for the basement, or what builders in a previous era called 
the rumpus room or the rec room.

Another room that is increasingly conducive for big-screen TV's is the 
sprawling master bedroom. The dimensions of that room in the average new 
home is 15 by 20 feet, said Gopal Ahluwalia, staff vice president for 
research for the home builders' group.

All that bodes well for big TV's. But at the same time, the kitchen has 
opened up into the family room. Whole rooms are disappearing. "We think 
that in 10 years there will be no more living room," Mr. Ahluwalia said. 
Interior walls where a TV might be hung are gone. So now, where does the TV go?

This problem becomes clearer when you look at the mathematics of screen 
size. TV manufacturers measure sets on the diagonal of the screen. A 
60-inch diagonal screen is about 52 inches wide and 29 inches high. That 
means a room needs to have an expanse of blank wall that is almost four and 
a half feet wide, or wider if the TV has speakers along the side of the 
screen or a wide-screen format.

A second consideration is viewing distance. A viewer should sit no closer 
than one and a half times the diagonal of a 1080p high-definition TV, the 
highest resolution TV available, according to the makers of high-definition 
sets. (The rule of thumb is two and a half times for TV's with lower 
resolution.) In the case of a 60-inch TV, that is about eight feet from the 
screen; otherwise you will start seeing the pixels in the picture.

Almost all new homes and most older homes have 12 feet of viewing distance 
for such a TV in a master bedroom or a family room. It starts getting 
difficult to find that room in many apartments.

Move up to a 103-incher and look what happens. You need a wall at least 90 
inches wide — seven and a half feet. The TV has to be at least 13 feet away 
from the viewers. Some experts claim that the optimum viewing distance is 
about twice that. Now where does it go?

George McKechnie of Axiom, a high-end home theater installer in Monterey, 
Calif., put in a $24,000 Runco 3-chip DLP front projector for one customer 
that splashes a 100-inch or larger image on a movie screen in the room. 
"It's marvelous if you are sitting 16 feet away," said Mr. McKechnie, who 
founded the business with his son, Loren. "At 12 feet, you can see the 
pixels." In short, "you need a pretty big room." About 80 percent of his 
business is installing 50-inch TV's, and about 5 percent is for 61-inchers, 
he said.

John Revie, vice president for sales and marketing for visual displays at 
Samsung Electronics, is not worried that size will ever matter. "There is 
no reason why it can't get any bigger," Mr. Revie said. "It comes down to 
what the consumer wants and what they are willing to pay. As long as it is 
in reach financially, they will get the largest set possible."

Mr. McKechnie, a former clinical psychologist, is not so sure. "It's not 
driven by the consumer," he said. "The technology is so complex that is it 
driven by the perception of what the consumer wants."

Mr. Abram of Sony said the company's designers were starting to take note 
of size. For instance, the company's new 46-inch-diagonal rear-projection 
TV is only an inch wider than its 42-inch-diagonal plasma TV because the 
speakers are moved from the side to below the screen.

On some of its Bravia models, Sony gives owners the option of swapping the 
silver bezel around the screen for one that is red, white, blue, black or 
brown to help minimize the appearance of the TV in the room.

For rooms with controlled lighting, the front projectors may end up being 
the answer for many people. Front-projection TV's were the fastest-growing 
category last year, with a 55 percent increase in sales, according to 
Quixel. The units are portable — some are the size of a thick paperback 
book — and a screen could be pulled down from the ceiling when needed.

Robert Stephens, head of Best Buy's Geek Squad, said he had seen the future 
in college dormitories and fraternities. Students project movies and video 
games onto a large wall with special reflective paint. "If you want to see 
what's going to happen, watch the kids in college," Mr. Stephens said.


================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



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