Bill Gates: 80 percent chance Vista will be ready in January 

90% chance pigs will fly out - Greg

http://www.physorg.com/news71830787.html

(AP) -- Microsoft Corp. Chairman Bill Gates said Tuesday there was an 80
percent chance the company's next-generation operating system, Vista, would
be ready in January. 

However, Gates said at a presentation in Cape Town to Microsoft software
partners that he would delay the launch if beta testing uncovered
shortcomings. 

The Vista software has been subject to a number of delays. Beta users of
software test products before their full commercial release in an effort to
uncover problems. 

"We got to get this absolutely right," Gates said. "If the feedback from the
beta tests shows it is not ready for prime time, I'd be glad to delay it." 

He said Microsoft was investing $8 billion to $9 billion in developing Vista
and the company's next version of Office, its key cash-generator. He said
the company's software partners, in developing and adapting their own
products for the two launches, would invest 20 times as much as Microsoft. 

Gates said he hoped the next version of Office would be ready in December. 

The new Vista operating system will have speech and visual recognition tools
and be backed by strong security measures, he said. It would move away from
reliance on easy-to-crack passwords to greater reliance on visual
identification and software shields on Internet attacks. 

He said the new Office would include the biggest set of innovations in more
than a decade, citing its ability to work on documents simultaneously over
the Internet. 

The biggest market for these products soon will be China, Gates said. He
said China was already the world's No. 1 mobile phone market and he expected
it to be the world's top PC, broadband and software market within a few
years. 

"Everybody needs to be in China," he said. "Even if only 20 percent of the
population is IT-active," he said, this is a huge number given the country's
1.3 billion population. 

China's piracy of Microsoft software will decline, he predicted, as China
becomes a bigger producer of intellectual property and sees "it will benefit
as much as us" by implementing strong intellectual-property protection. He
expects the Chinese government - which accounts for what he said was 35
percent of the country's software sales - to buy all its software legally
this year. 

Gates is in South Africa to attend a Microsoft-sponsored forum of government
leaders which gathers several African heads of state and former President
Clinton in debates on how technology can improve the continent's
competitiveness. 

Gates and his wife, Melinda, also are visiting projects supported by their
philanthropic organization, which has invested billions of dollars to fight
diseases such as HIV-AIDS and malaria. 

Shares of Microsoft dipped 8 cents to $23.42 in pre-market trading.

Gregory S. Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



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