Heat Wave Spurs Calls For Stronger Power Grid
Stress Focuses Concern On Transmission, Reserves;
California Air Travel Stalls

By JOHN J. FIALKA and REBECCA SMITH
Wall Street Journal

July 19, 2006; Page A4

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB115322817761709728.html?mod=home_whats_news_us


A heat wave that put pressure on North America's power-transmission system 
for the second day soaked up more electricity reserves than expected and 
spurred calls for strengthening the nation's power grid.

This week's heat wave brought record levels of electricity demand and 
amounted to a giant stress test that the U.S. power grid -- actually three 
interconnected grids that involve 3,500 utilities serving 283 million 
people -- wasn't designed to handle.

While massive outages were avoided, some regions saw problems. The 
Associated Press reported that flights in and out of Southern California 
were disrupted last night because of a 90-minute power outage at a radar 
facility. The regional Federal Aviation Administration office couldn't 
determine the cause, the AP said.

Joseph T. Kelliher, chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, 
said the two-day heat wave set record levels of demand in seven areas 
across the country. "You couldn't come up with a more serious test of the 
system," he said, adding that "we need adequate supplies, a more-robust 
grid and tough reliability standards."

Stephen Whitley, chief operating officer for ISO New England, which manages 
the grid there, called the heat wave "a major example" of why a bigger, 
more modern system is needed. "Bulk power helps us get through these 
events. We just need to have more of it," he said. He said that while New 
England was in desperate need of power, cooler weather was entering the 
Midwest, meaning there was excess electricity there. But the region lacks 
the connections to move much of the power east.

The nation's energy infrastructure faces two challenges. The amount of 
backup power -- needed to accommodate sudden spikes in usage caused by 
extremely hot weather -- is adequate. But that amount has been in decline 
as a result of a growing economy and disruptions in energy markets that 
caused many firms to cancel new power-plant projects.

The system is plagued by bottlenecks that prevent the movement of power to 
areas that need it. Overhauls enacted in Washington after a major blackout 
in 2003 were supposed to start correcting those problems. But progress has 
been slow. For example, implementing one of the 2003 recommendations, FERC 
is soon expected to select an industry group, the North American Electric 
Reliability Council, to enforce uniform, federally backed rules for the 
grid and to impose fines on violators.

The grid operates under a system of voluntary rules, a kind of honor system 
for the utilities and grid operators that run high-voltage transmission 
systems. The U.S.-Canadian task force that investigated the August 2003 
blackout cited violations of the voluntary standards, including the failure 
of utilities to conduct routine monitoring of transmission lines and 
inadequate pruning of trees along transmission corridors. The blackout 
caused between $4 billion and $10 billion of damage in parts of the 
Northeast, Midwest and Canada, according to the task force. Last year, 
Congress responded by passing an energy bill that requires mandatory 
standards, backed by monetary penalties, but the rules are months away from 
being finalized, though a draft has been sent to FERC for review.

Congress required the Department of Energy to designate national "energy 
corridors" where congestion is bad and new high-voltage lines might be 
built. But the department's report isn't due until next month. That will be 
the start of a more lengthy process that will allow the federal government 
to intervene where states can't agree on the location of interstate lines.

Craig Baker, senior vice president of American Electric Power Co., the 
Columbus, Ohio, utility that operates the nation's largest private 
transmission system, said that federal intervention will help, but that it 
doesn't answer the question of who will pay for the billions of dollars 
needed to build transmission lines. "We're all looking at massive 
transmission expenses," he said. He told a forum of utilities and 
regulators yesterday that state regulators justify improvements that 
benefit local users, but sometimes reject changes that benefit regional 
movements on the grid.

FERC is reviewing plans from utilities for several major new interstate 
power lines. The agency has new powers to authorize higher electricity 
rates to help finance them, which could help stimulate new investment in 
the grid, but lead to higher power bills for consumers and businesses.

Yesterday, there were reports of isolated electric-system problems, 
including in Michigan, Wisconsin and some other parts of the Midwest. Some 
were caused by overheating of equipment and others by equipment failures. 
But there weren't the major transmission-line failures that could cause 
widespread outages for protracted periods for millions of people. PJM 
Interconnection, a grid operator serving 13 states and the District of 
Columbia, last night ended its special request for the public to conserve 
electricity, citing cooler forecasts.

It looked like several regions might set records for electricity usage 
yesterday, in some cases beating records set the day before. New England, 
by 1 p.m. EDT, already had metered demand of 26,934 megawatts, narrowly 
beating a record of 26,885 megawatts set last July, according to ISO New 
England. One megawatt can power 500 to 1,000 homes.

One major problem is making sure there's enough power available to 
accommodate sudden spikes in usage caused by extremely hot weather. Backup 
power is especially needed in summer because electrical equipment is more 
prone to failure when plants are running hardest and power lines are fully 
loaded.

Reserve margins, a measure of the amount of surplus power available, in 
July were expected to be 17% for the U.S. as a whole and 23% for Canada, 
with the U.S. figure getting closer to the 15% reserve margin that's 
regarded as a minimum amount needed to assure reliability.

Nationally, the U.S. reserve margin hit 19.4% in 2003, and in some regions 
it was twice as great. But disruptions in energy markets caused many firms 
to cancel projects, and a growing economy has eaten up much of that reserve 
cushion. Even small swings can have a big impact on supplies. In 2000, the 
year an energy crisis in California began, the U.S. reserve margin slipped 
to 14.7%.

The electric system is susceptible to fuel problems, as well. Some 
companies continue to complain that they aren't getting sufficient coal 
deliveries out of Wyoming's Powder River Basin to keep their coal-fired 
plants running at maximum output. Rail problems from more than a year ago 
continue to cause delays as tracks are strengthened. Another type of fuel 
shortage could emerge, as well, if there are hurricanes along the Gulf 
Coast that disrupt natural-gas production, as they did last summer.


=================================================
George Antunes                    Voice (713) 743-3923
Associate Professor               Fax   (713) 743-3927
Political Science                    Internet: antunes at uh dot edu
University of Houston
Houston, TX 77204-3011         



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