http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-hollyfear20jul20,1,399066.story?coll=la-headlines-business

As Layoffs Sweep Movie Studios, Hollywood Fears for Its Future

By Claudia Eller and Richard Verrier
LA Times Staff Writers

July 20, 2006



Never mind that movie ticket sales are picking up and that "Pirates of the 
Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest" could become the biggest hit in motion picture 
history. As studios slash jobs and restructure to boost profits, 
Hollywood's creative and executive ranks are having a collective anxiety 
attack.

Walt Disney Co.'s move this week to lay off about 650 employees and revamp 
its Burbank studio to make fewer films only confirms what many in the 
entertainment industry have been stressing over for months: The movie 
business is shrinking.

Disney's firings, which started at the top with the studio's production 
chief, are the latest in an industrywide contraction that has cost more 
than 2,000 jobs worldwide. In Los Angeles, particularly, the economic 
effect is being widely felt.

Here, in an industry built on bravado, people are suddenly talking openly 
about being afraid.

"I think we're moving into uncharted territory, and there's great unease 
about where we're headed," said Oscar-winning producer Doug Wick, whose 
credits include "Gladiator" and this year's "RV." "Occasionally, this fear 
turns into panic."

Producer Brian Grazer, a multiple Oscar winner whose current release "The 
Da Vinci Code" has racked up more than $700 million worldwide, went further.

"It's as if the managerial elite has made a secret pact to adhere to 
certain business principles that they want to enforce on agents and 
artists," said Grazer, who sees studios as more rigid today about how far 
they'll stretch to compensate even the biggest stars, directors, producers 
and writers on movie projects.

"That's never happened in the 25 years I've been producing."

Disney is not the only media conglomerate over the last year to cut, and 
cut deeply. Financial pressures recently forced the owners of two major 
movie studios, Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Inc. and DreamWorks SKG, to sell 
once-vital operations to deeper-pocketed players. Those moves resulted in 
about 1,350 lost jobs.

Another formerly robust supplier, Revolution Studios — an independently 
financed production company that counted Sony Pictures among its investors 
— has significantly downsized its ranks and ambitions after too many 
box-office misses.

Disney dramatically scaled back its Miramax Film specialty unit from the 
mini-studio that it had been under its founders, Bob and Harvey Weinstein. 
And Time Warner Inc.'s Warner Bros. cut about 400 jobs.

As DVD sales level off and soaring talent, production and marketing costs 
slice into profits, most studios have opted to hedge their bets by taking 
outside financiers as partners on many of the movies they make.

Another sign of belt-tightening: Sony is in the throes of severing a number 
of producer deals at its Culver City lot.

"We're running into some pretty choppy waters, and so you trim your sails," 
Sony Pictures Chief Executive Michael Lynton said, adding that the studios 
in general were having to be more prudent because "some of the cushions 
that were there in the past are no longer there."

Among those cushions, he said: "More-predictable DVD sales, a much bigger 
TV network market for films, and reliable audience reaction to the TV 
marketing of our movies."

Media analysts agree that in watching their bottom lines, entertainment 
companies are simply doing what is necessary to raise sagging stock prices 
and earnings. But they acknowledge that the conglomerates that own studios 
appear to be losing some confidence in the movie business.

"The media companies don't like it as much as they used to," Wall Street 
analyst Harold Vogel said.

"They don't see it as a prime engine of growth anymore, so they're farming 
out as much of the risk as they can to private-equity and hedge-fund 
partners. They are just not as interested in throwing additional capital 
into the business."

Lowell Singer of Cowen & Co. said that though job losses were "devastating 
for the industry, it doesn't suggest that the film business is no longer 
attractive."

"These companies just want to be more economically sensible about how 
they're competing in the film business," Singer said.

That's no comfort, of course, to the devastated.

The rollback in production will have consequences well beyond the major 
Hollywood studios, squeezing a range of service industries that cater to 
entertainment companies, experts say.

"The layoffs will ripple through the economy because the motion picture and 
TV production industry has a multiplier impact," said Jack Kyser, chief 
economist of the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp. Every new 
job in the entertainment sector produces two more jobs in the local 
economy, he said.

"You have location scouts, caterers, the people who sell caps and jackets 
and rent equipment," he said. "They'll all be affected."

The economic effect will be mitigated by a continued increase in local 
television production and the overall health of the Los Angeles economy, 
where unemployment is running at its lowest levels in years, Kyser added.

Still, the current contraction is sure to have a far-reaching effect, 
including on talent agencies, which procure jobs not only for actors, 
directors, and writers but also for so-called below-the-line workers such 
as costumers, script supervisors and camera operators.

"It's not doomsday by a long shot," said Jim Wiatt, chief executive of 
William Morris Agency. "But our agency is keeping a close eye on all these 
companies and how it affects our clients and how we run our own business."

Steve MacDonald, president of FilmL.A. Inc., which issues film permits in 
the city and unincorporated areas of the county, said the studio cuts would 
hurt local film crews that have already suffered as Canada and other places 
have lured productions away with tax incentives.

Lance Sorenson, president of 24/7 Studio Equipment in Burbank, which leases 
aerial equipment to film crews, said the cuts at Disney were bad news.

"It absolutely has a big-time effect on us," said Sorenson, whose firm 
employs 27 people. "It's the old trickle-down theory."

Add to this concerns over possible labor disputes during the next two 
years. Studios are girding for potential strikes as leaders of the Writers 
Guild of America, West and the Screen Actors Guild vow to take a harder 
line in negotiations.

Even film schools are being affected.

"The professional landscape which our graduates are entering is one in 
which feature films are going to play a smaller part," says Charles 
Merzbacher, who heads Boston University's Department of Film and 
Television. In the fall, he noted, the school will offer a course in 
producing content for iPods and cellphones — a way of ensuring "that our 
students have a future."

Wick, the producer, said he wasn't ready to give up. Not yet.

"Having survived a lot of these cycles, there's a pattern of the whole town 
overreacting," he said.

"People go into a free-fall anxiety that the movie business as we know it 
is somehow going to dematerialize. I'm more optimistic."


================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



Reply with a "Thank you" if you liked this post.
_____________________________

MEDIANEWS mailing list
[email protected]
To unsubscribe send an email to:
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

Reply via email to