Microsoft fails to quash Vista fears
By Daisuke Wakabayashi and Eric Auchard Fri Jul 28, 5:12 AM ET

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20060728/tc_nm/microsoft_tech_dc_2

REDMOND, Washington (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq:MSFT - news) on 
Thursday failed to quash fears that a new version of its Windows 
software system would be further delayed, stirring concerns that a new 
technology cycle tied to the upgrade could be put on hold.

This uncertainty over when Microsoft and the rest of hi-tech would 
benefit from the surge in revenue growth that typically accompanies a 
major Windows upgrade led Microsoft's shares to close down 2 percent at 
$23.87 on the Nasdaq on Thursday.

"We will ship Windows Vista when it is available," Kevin Johnson, 
co-president of Microsoft's platforms and services unit, said at the 
company's annual financial analysts' meeting, adding that Microsoft 
would take the project "milestone by milestone."

Windows sits on more than 90 percent of the world's personal computers.

Windows Vista, already five years in the making, has been postponed by 
Microsoft several times. Quality assurance delays have put off the 
consumer version of Windows until early 2007 -- after the crucial 
holiday shopping season.

Vista is set to ship to corporate customers this November.

Goldman Sachs analyst Rick Sherlund said the cautious comments represent 
a delayed confirmation of his thesis that Microsoft would not begin to 
see revenue from the general availability of Windows Vista until March 
or April 2007.

"When they hesitate, that's confirmation we were right," he said. 
Microsoft has consistently been this cautious in the past, an 
acknowledgment of its history of slipping a few months beyond initial 
targets for major software releases, Sherlund said.

Greg Palmer, head of equity trading at Pacific Crest Securities, asked 
at the meeting: "Explain why I'm paying 20 times for a stock that is 
growing at 10 with a whole lot of investments that are not really going 
anywhere."

Technology stocks sold off, driving down the broader U.S. market, as 
further Windows delays could slowdown plans by businesses and consumers 
to upgrade computers and software.

FOUR PILLARS OF GROWTH

The new Microsoft is being built on "four pillars," Microsoft's Chief 
Executive Steve Ballmer said in opening comments at the meeting. 
Upgrades to the company's two core products -- the Windows operating 
system and Office applications suite -- should act as engines to drive 
growth and buy it time to erect two new pillars -- its Internet and
Xbox game businesses.

Chief Financial Officer Chris Liddell said Microsoft was in "high 
investment mode" and very acquisitive over the past year, spending $649 
million to acquire 23 companies. He said it acquired four companies in July.

Microsoft last week forecast revenue for the fiscal year ending in June 
2007 to grow 12 percent to 14 percent, to between $49.7 billion and 
$50.7 billion.

Revenue from its Windows business is growing 8 percent to 10 percent, 
Johnson said on Thursday. Windows, nearly a third of Microsoft's total 
revenue, should generate between $14.3 billion and $14.5 billion in 
fiscal 2007, he said.

Microsoft forecast another year of losses at its mobile phone, games and 
devices business before turning a profit in the business year ending 
June 30, 2008.

Executives at the meeting said investments for the company's new "Zune" 
media player and another year of losses at its Xbox game unit would 
continue to weigh on the entertainment and devices unit's earnings this 
year. The division posted a loss last year.

"Fiscal 07 will be a loss. We think that turns to profit in 08," said 
Robbie Bach, president of the division.

The entertainment and devices division encompasses much of Microsoft's 
consumer-oriented products, such as Windows-based smartphones, the Xbox 
360 game console and its upcoming "Zune" media player, but has not been 
a consistent earnings driver.


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