Spaceship guru looks over the horizon
Burt Rutan on his SpaceShipTwo plan, his backers and his competitors

By Leonard David
Senior space writer
Space.com

Updated: 12:28 a.m. CT Aug 12, 2006

URL: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14312240/


MOJAVE, Calif. - As you stroll through the desert airport/spaceport here, 
you don’t see a “Keep Out! Spaceliner Under Construction” sign. On the 
other hand, there’s a palpable feeling that behind closed hangar doors, the 
future of public space travel is, indeed, a work in progress — and in good 
hands.

At Scaled Composites — home of the privately financed and built 
SpaceShipOne that made a trio of piloted suborbital flights in 2004 under 
the rubric of Tier 1 — the fabrication of a fleet of passenger-carrying 
space planes and huge carrier launch planes is under way. This activity is 
labeled Tier 1b.

Burt Rutan, head of the firm, is chief design maestro leading a spaceliner 
workforce. While he’s not about to roll out blueprints or show you factory 
floor hardware, he gave this reporter a squat-down, legs-folded, but 
relaxing-beanbag-chair interview in his office to discuss the business of 
public space travel.

“First of all, just because people have kind of discovered ‘Oh, now we can 
have a personal commercial spaceflight industry’ … that doesn’t mean we can 
just throw money at the problem and send people to resort hotels in orbit,” 
Rutan told Space.com.

Rutan admitted that he’s frustrated but committed to building suborbital 
spaceships.

“I’d love to be working on going to the moon. I’m doing this really because 
I don’t think I can convince a funder to go out and invest in an orbital 
system that we’re not sure would work.”

In Rutan’s plotting of things to come, Tier 2 is orbital.

“My bottom line is that we have to have some kind of breakthroughs,” Rutan 
explained. “What’s needed is to create an environment to have breakthroughs 
… to try things that may seem illogical at first.”

Long-shot
Looking back on SpaceShipOne, Rutan said the focus was on safety, on 
recurring cost, and asking the question: “When we’re done with this, if it 
worked, could it lead right into flying the public? Could it be safe? I 
don’t think that’s been done to go to orbit,” he said.

While Microsoft mogul Paul Allen bankrolled SpaceShipOne and had a lot of 
confidence in the effort, Rutan added that the investor confessed later 
that he did think the suborbital project “was a real long-shot.” (Microsoft 
is a partner in the MSNBC joint venture.)

“I’m focusing now on going ahead and doing something that I never did with 
airplanes. That is, not just do research but go ahead and build something 
that would be certified. Produce it and sell it to spacelines and let them 
go out there and compete with each other to fly the public,” Rutan said.

His hunch is that by profitably flying people by the tens of thousands, the 
funding pump will be primed, and the recognition fostered that 
breakthroughs are needed for a high-risk orbital spaceship research program.

“I’m getting a commercial system going for one reason: I don’t think 
anybody else will,” Rutan explained. “I think it’s really important for me 
to build a lot of them,” he added, not just a few for Sir Richard Branson’s 
Virgin Galactic, “but a lot of them.”

Must have checklist
In building the multipassenger SpaceShipTwo, Rutan offered a design glimpse 
of what’s in store for ticket-paying suborbital travelers.

Along with lots of windows, a close second on the “must have” checklist is 
for customers to experience weightlessness. A person in SpaceShipTwo will 
feel just four minutes of freefall, so having a great big cabin is 
extremely important, Rutan pointed out, “to be able to stretch out your 
arms and legs and float around.”

To gain some think space about weightlessness, Rutan took his own 
fact-finding flight aboard the private Zero Gravity Corp.’s aircraft.

“The impression you get is that it’s important to know why you’re floating, 
so you need windows. You want to fly … you don’t want to be strapped in. 
And to experience weightlessness in shirtsleeves is important, not being 
bothered with a pressure suit or tied down to a cable or having a helmet 
on,” he said.

Mega-mothership
Given SpaceShipTwo’s flight path to the edge of space and back, the four 
minutes of freefall gives you a feeling for what it would be like to live 
in orbit for weeks, Rutan suggested. Coming back into the atmosphere, he 
said, passengers would float gently to the craft’s floor as it takes more 
than 40 seconds to reach one-gravity.

“That’s the reason we feel we’ll easily be able to certify people floating 
around and getting into a seat … more of a bed to lay flat,” Rutan said.

Hauling a SpaceShipTwo into launch position will require use of a 
mega-mothership that’s patterned after the White Knight aircraft utilized 
for the Tier 1 program.

That giant airplane will have an identical cabin like that built into 
SpaceShipTwo. You can take up people and float them out of their chairs. 
“They can’t tell they are not in the spaceship,” Rutan said.

The mothership will be an aerobatic airplane, Rutan said, able to provide 
rehearsal runs that produce seconds of weightlessness for future suborbital 
space travelers, as well as offer a view of the dark blue sky at 50,000 
feet (15 kilometers).

“They can practice floating around, playing games, and to get into their 
positions for re-entry and deceleration. We’ll be able to give them the 
entire re-entry G profile, and I think that’s extremely important,” Rutan 
noted. “So we’ve got something here that I think is very special.”

Natural selection
Branson has on order a fleet of spaceliners. But there were other offers 
before Branson’s investment proposal was picked, Rutan confided. “He was 
selected as an investment source because he was very early telling 
everybody what he was going to do, and usually I’m against that. But he’s 
putting his reputation on the goal of this program … doing that on day one.”

Rutan said that his biggest concern was investment money “getting chicken” 
on the courage to take risk and to move forward to tackle issues. “I felt 
that Branson was making commitments so that he, even without me, had to 
finish it,” he said.

Taking a long look out to the next 10 to 12 years, Rutan predicted that 
“there’s going to be some very good news and some very bad news.”

The bad news, Rutan advised, is related to the government space programs. 
“I hate to say that, but the reason is that they are just structured so 
there will be a lot of money spent and they are not likely to reap the 
benefits that are going to help us.”

The good news, Rutan suggested as a guess, is that there will be 
breakthroughs forthcoming, stemming from what happens after the first 
generation of suborbital craft — including competitors, now known and yet 
unknown — take to the sky.

“We need what amounts to natural selection to work. Nobody is smart enough 
to know ahead of time whether something is the right answer. You’ve got to 
field the good ones and bad ones for the good ones to float to the top,” 
Rutan said.

URL: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14312240/



================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



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