I don't think that is accurate at all.
1. As soon as anyone is out and forced to start deploying customers without
native IPv4 (if said customers have IPv4 at all, it's through
LSN/DS-Lite/NAT64)
you have a situation where the user experience for your customers
trying to
reach those customers is degraded if you aren't providing IPv6.
2. It will take most network operators at least 6 months and probably more
like
18 months to get from starting to deploy IPv6 on their backbones to
being
able to roll it out to the majority of their customers. Arguably if
there's 6
months until you have to have IPv6 to your customers, you needed to
start
12 months ago just to be on schedule.
3. I expect RIPE will be the next RIR to run out. I expect they will run
out
probably around June or July. That's not 6 months and that's where
most of the middle east gets their addresses.
4. I'm not sure what you mean by "we are the last". I'm not familiar enough
with your network to apply the proper context, so, perhaps in some way
you may have 6 months before you face it in your own environment, but,
what about your user's ability to reach other environments and/or the
ability for users in other environments to have a good experience
reaching yours?
5. The organization who gets the last allocation in each RIR has a slight
advantage
over all the organizations who were in line behind them because they
have
enough IPv4 addresses to meet their needs for some (limited) amount
of time whereas the others have no supply of addresses available to
them.
Using that advantage as an excuse to delay your IPv6 deployment is,
IMHO, both short-sighted and self-destructive.
Owen
On Apr 16, 2011, at 6:53 AM, Lu Heng wrote:
> well, we are the last, we still have another 6 month to go before face it,
> correct me if I was wrong.
>
> On Sat, Apr 16, 2011 at 2:56 PM, Owen DeLong <[email protected]> wrote:
> Well said.
>
> Owen
>
> On Apr 16, 2011, at 2:06 AM, Ahmed Abu-Abed wrote:
>
>> Dear colleagues,
>>
>> APNIC, the IP address registry for the region stretching from Pakistan to
>> Japan and down to Australia/NZ, announced yesterday it has reached the final
>> /8 IPv4 address block, which is practical IPv4 depletion for most ISPs.
>>
>> From now on APNIC will highly restrict the amounts of IPv4 addresses it
>> issues, with ONLY one block 1024 addresses per ISP, and this will be the
>> last IPv4 address block given to each ISP.
>>
>> Expect IPv6 only services to start come up, so even if you have enough IPv4
>> addresses or thinking of implementing an IPv4 Carrier Grade NAT in your
>> network, you will still need to start IPv6 migration all the way to the
>> subscribers.
>>
>> The Middle East's address registry, RIPE NCC, is expected to reach a similar
>> situation soon when RIPE reaches its final /8.
>>
>> Best Regards,
>> -Ahmed
>>
>> Ahmed Abu-Abed, P.Eng.
>> VP, IPv6 Forum Jordan
>> GSM +962 777 669 100
>> www.ipv6forum.org
>>
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> --
> --
> Kind regards.
>
> Lu
>
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