Greg, I just don't see COVID being deadlier. Total worldwide deaths are around
5,000 in around 3 months/90 days, actually a bit less but whatever. The number
is rising but its more or less linear as is the number of known infected
persons. Remember the NUMBER is rising linearly, which means the rate is mostly
constant. This is all taken from WHO published data which is maybe not reliable
but about all we've got.
Total US flu deaths since October is something like 35,000 October - February,
so 5 months or about 150 days, thats 233/day vs 55 a day for COVID.
In the US there have been probably around 30 deaths by now. This is over the
course of say 4 weeks. Most of those deaths are in one nursing home where sure,
its sad that folks died but, lets be practical, they were just waiting around
to die anyway.
So no, I don't see this as any more deadly than the flu and in all probability
its less deadly and, now that people are aware and taking precautions its
traveling slower than the flu.
-Curt
On Friday, March 13, 2020, 4:17:38 PM EDT, Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes
<mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
The FACT is that this COVID is both deadlier and more communicable than the
flu. Stick to the known data and the probable gaps in the data, such as the
unknown denominator which is the total number of infections. The data seem to
show that the fatality rate of COVID is about 10X that of flu. For the elderly
and medically challenged the fatality rate may be much higher than 10X.
Assess your risk level and adjust your practices accordingly. The data will
change as we move along, and practices will need to change to suit. Try to
control the toilet paper obsession.
The administration is doing a pretty good job. The CDC messed up with their
restrictive rules on test kits. The bottleneck on that is that the reagents
necessary to process the tests are sourced from OUTSIDE the US (Germany I
heard) and are in short supply. Blame globalism.
That the CDC has been pushing to study whether guns are dangerous, but not
doing too well with their actual mission means that they need better
supervision, maybe time to clean house with their upper management.
Believe it or not...FEMA has a good program to train people for disaster
exercises, their MEPP (Master Exercise Practitioner Program). Exercises and
drills are the best way to determine shortcomings in a system, and what
training is necessary. The CDC needs to test themselves with frequent exercises.
Greg
who ran exercises and drills for DHS between '03 and '08 in Oregon, SW WA, and
parts of Idaho, many involving public health issues.
-----Original Message-----
From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Kaleb
Striplin via Mercedes
Sent: Thursday, March 12, 2020 5:43 PM
To: Mercedes Discussion List
Cc: Kaleb Striplin
Subject: [MBZ] It’s hard to tell fact from fiction
With all of these places closing down, our company is suspending a lot of
business travel and our scheduled company meeting at the end of the month has
been postponed is this actually real or people blowing things out or proportion?
Sent from my iPhone
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