Interesting, thanks!  A potential new treatment for those very ill with Wuhan 
Red Death, and good news on vaccine front.

Max Dillon
Charleston SC

Jul 21, 2020 3:24:49 PM archer75--- via Mercedes <mercedes@okiebenz.com>:

> The Oxford vaccine appears to have surpassed expectations
> 
> The Spectator, 20 July 2020, 12:09pm
> 
> Dr Waqar Rashid
> 
> It has been yet another busy medical day in our ‘new-normal’ coronavirus 
> world. Today, the Phase One results of the University of Oxford vaccine were 
> published, confirming positive reports tantalisingly leaked last week. Also 
> making the news is a press release from the pharmaceutical company Synairgen, 
> touting very positive initial results from its inhaled protein, 
> interferon-beta, in treating hospitalised patients with coronavirus.
> 
> In days gone by the publishing of results of a Phase One vaccine study would 
> barely generate a ripple, even in the relevant medical speciality. But of 
> course, this is no ordinary trial and we are truly in extraordinary times.
> 
> All medical products undergo a trial process, starting with studies which 
> look purely at safety (not efficacy). Many trials fail at this stage. You may 
> recall the disastrous Northwick Park study in 2006 which saw six healthy 
> young people develop multiple organ failure from exposure. Once this hurdle 
> is passed then a larger scale trial to look at efficacy is undertaken and if 
> successful, a licence is applied for and distribution follows.
> 
> Today, the preliminary findings for ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (the Covid-19 vaccine) 
> appear to show that it has surpassed expectations. Firstly, the safety hurdle 
> seems to have been met, although 70 per cent of the 1,077 volunteers 
> apparently did report fever or headache. Secondly, and in line with the 
> bullish press releases last week, the vaccine garners both an antibody and 
> T-cell response which it is hoped may provide lasting immunity to the 
> disease. This is vital as studies have shown that patient antibody levels may 
> fall after just three months.
> 
> There are the usual caveats: the study was over a very small timeframe and 
> was not intended to show if it is a working vaccine, so we know little of its 
> long-term safety or effectiveness. Nevertheless, it is now full steam ahead 
> for the larger Phase Three study and the likely riches of being first on the 
> market.
> 
> Make no mistake, a vaccine is the only game in town as far as the Department 
> of Health and the World Health Organisation see it. Despite the continued 
> fall in hospitalisations due to Covid-19 in the UK and the significant 
> reduction in deaths, a return to pre-March 2020 normal life seems a long way 
> off. ‘Cases’ continue to rise in some areas and there is talk of local spikes 
> and lockdowns. Masks will soon be compulsory in shops (something that was not 
> the case at the peak of the epidemic) and of course we still await a possible 
> ‘second wave’. Boris Johnson on Saturday promised a return to 
> ‘near-normality’ by Christmas, but given that is bang in the middle of the 
> respiratory virus season, this would seem grossly optimistic. A 
> ‘game-changer’ is needed to break the cycle of cases and restriction.
> 
> There is actually a coherent argument to be made that cases (positive tests 
> without infection) matter little, as spread from this is at best rare and it 
> may also reflect a move towards community immunity which may allow us to live 
> with this virus. However, the government and scientific advisers have put all 
> their eggs in the vaccine basket.
> 
> The larger Phase Three trial for the Oxford vaccine is already recruiting in 
> Brazil, because there are not enough serious infections in the UK, and a 
> license and production deal has already been signed with AstraZeneca to 
> supply the UK with over 90 million vaccines from as early as September. A 
> subsequent mass vaccination programme would then likely follow. Suddenly the 
> promised Christmas normality would become possible. Hence, a working and safe 
> vaccine is fundamental to these ambitions.
> 
> As I mentioned previously, there is an almost unseemly worldwide race to be 
> the first to develop an effective and safe vaccine. Today’s results, combined 
> with the UK’s block purchasing already underway, confirms Oxford’s 
> credentials as the definite frontrunner.
> 
> Yet the other development of the day: the finding that an inhaled protein, 
> interferon-beta, may dramatically reduce severe Covid-19 lung disease and 
> hospitalisation, may also have a bearing. The preliminary study reported by 
> its pharmaceutical sponsor, Synairgen, from a modestly-sized 100 patient 
> study at the University of Southampton suggests (but no more than that) two 
> very important things.
> 
> Firstly, severe Covid cases may become much more treatable, which could have 
> a significant bearing on future fatalities if a so-called second wave does 
> emerge. Certainly, initial assumptions of treating the condition have now 
> been turned on its head with the dash for ventilators now replaced with 
> stockpiling of dexamethasone and possibly now interferon-beta.
> 
> Secondly, given both dexamethasone and interferon-beta are medications which 
> reduce or modify the immune system, this tells us is that it's immune 
> dysregulation as a result of the virus, and not a direct attack from the 
> virus itself, that is key to a number of Covid deaths. This is very important 
> as it could give reassurance to a number of people on immunosuppressive 
> medications for other medical conditions that they may not be at a 
> significant increased risk from the virus. This also may, rightly in my 
> opinion, move more focus onto prevention of Covid-19 with good general health 
> and diet and adequate levels of vitamin D, so that we have an optimally 
> healthy immune system. All these things tend to be negatively impacted by 
> lockdowns. Finally, it should also be noted that Synairgen’s results await 
> peer review and scrutiny.
> 
> Expect more developments very soon. What is taking shape is an undoubtedly 
> impressive scientific and medical response to this virus with the UK playing 
> a significant role. Whatever one’s feelings about the necessity of needing a 
> Covid-19 vaccine, the reality has definitely moved a step forward today and 
> it is not inconceivable that it could become available before the year is 
> out. Coupled with other new treatments that may be coming, huge medical 
> advances have been made but there is still much work ahead.
> 
> •
> 
> Dr Waqar Rashid is a consultant neurologist at St George's University 
> Foundation Hospital NHS Trust, London. This article is a personal view and 
> does not necessarily represent the views of the Trust.
> 
> https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-oxford-vaccine-appears-to-have-surpassed-expectations
> 
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