It would appear that one possible reason for Florida test centers reporting
100% positive tests is that they only thought they had to report positive
tests. Realistically most people, especially a couple months ago, only cared
about the number of positive tests each day. Of course that doesn't give you a
good impression of whats going on but most people are idiots...
-Curt
On Friday, August 14, 2020, 2:11:35 AM EDT, Allan Streib via Mercedes
<mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
Around here they are saying that false negatives are a thing, but false
positives are almost zero. That's very convenient for the lockdown
enthusiasts. Yet we have heard about the testing centers in Florida that
reported 100% positive tests.
Like so much about this situation, who knows what to believe.
I fall back on common sense. Wash your hands. Stay home if you're
sick. Eat well, stay fit. Get some sun and fresh air. All the rest of it
seems to be made up as we go along.
Allan
Clay via Mercedes <mercedes@okiebenz.com> writes:
> Small cruise ship had to turn around because of false positives. Alaska is
> seeing a large number of inaccurate test results. Science is not up to the
> standards required to effectively handle the plague.
>
> https://www.ktoo.org/2020/08/12/uncruise-says-wilderness-adventurer-did-not-have-covid-19-on-board-after-all/
>
> clay
>
> I have no pronouns please do not refer to me.
>
>
>
>> On Aug 13, 2020, at 7:41 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes
>> <mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>>
>> It is almost all false negatives with the current PCR nasopharyngeal seab,
>> die to technique. False positives are rare.
>>
>> On Wed, Aug 12, 2020, 9:43 AM Curt Raymond via Mercedes <
>> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Neither appeals particularly, with false negative you expose others, with
>>> false positive you're stuck in quarantine for 2 weeks without the benefit
>>> of at least hopefully getting anti-bodies.
>>> -Curt
>>>
>>> On Wednesday, August 12, 2020, 12:37:13 PM EDT, Andrew Strasfogel <
>>> astrasfo...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> I've booked my flight to Moscow already.NOT.
>>> I wonder if the inaccuracy of the cheap daily means false ++ or false --
>>> results. It makes a huge difference.
>>>
>>> On Wed, Aug 12, 2020 at 12:30 PM Curt Raymond via Mercedes <
>>> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> Its not the stupidest idea I've seen for sure but IIRC the cheap/fast
>>> tests right now are only like 80% accurate. I guess its better than nothing
>>> but not by a lot. Even if it were, say $1/test that would be a big cost for
>>> a school with hundreds of students to test on a daily basis.
>>> I'm nervous of Russia's release of a vaccine. It'll be interesting to see
>>> what happens. I suspect China is right behind and will be releasing
>>> something in a month or two.
>>>
>>> -Curt
>>>
>>> On Wednesday, August 12, 2020, 12:22:23 PM EDT, Andrew Strasfogel via
>>> Mercedes <mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> Cheap, frequent COVID tests could be ‘akin to vaccine,’ professor says.
>>>
>>> "Harvard epidemiologist and expert in disease testing is calling for a
>>> shift in strategy toward a cheap, daily, do-it-yourself test that he says
>>> can be as effective as a vaccine at interrupting coronavirus transmission —
>>> and is currently the only viable option for a quick return to an
>>> approximation of normal life.
>>>
>>> “These are our hope,” said Michal Mina
>>> <https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/people/michael-mina/>, assistant professor
>>> of epidemiology at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
>>> <http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/> and Brigham and Women’s Hospital
>>> <http://www.brighamandwomens.org/>. “We don’t have anything tomorrow,
>>> other
>>> than shutting down the economy and keeping schools closed.”
>>>
>>> As the pandemic’s health, economic, and educational toll mounts, Mina, a
>>> member of the Harvard Chan School’s Center for Communicable Disease
>>> Dynamics, <https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/> said the paper-strip tests have
>>> already been developed and their shotgun approach to testing — cheap and
>>> widespread — provides a way back to the workplace, classroom, and other
>>> venues."
>>>
>>>
>>> https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/08/cheap-daily-covid-tests-could-be-akin-to-vaccine/?utm_source=SilverpopMailing&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Daily%20Gazette%2020200812%20(1)
_______________________________________
http://www.okiebenz.com
To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
_______________________________________
http://www.okiebenz.com
To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
