Gordon Spence <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes,
in reply to Aaron Blosser ([EMAIL PROTECTED]):

> >Once this new one is verified, it will be interesting to see if there is a
> >prime either just below or just above it, to see if this elusive and highly
> >unverified "island" theory sticks in this case or not.
> 
> I was wondering about this myself, might be worth getting a few exponents
> in the vicinity of the new number...
> 
Well, _if_ (and it's still a big "if") the "island" theory holds, then we 
would still expect any supposed "partner" of the new prime to have 
an exponent a few hundred thousand different from the new 
discovery. That's a lot of candidates, and lots of them are already 
allocated.

Another approach (if you really believe in the "island" theory) would 
be to use the new prime's exponent (once it's made public) to 
refine the values of k & q in the predictor formula k*q^n and start 
checking exponents in the 12/13/14 million range. Personally I feel 
you've a better chance checking smaller untested exponents 
allocated normally by PrimeNet.

BTW inspection of the tables of known primes of the forms k.2^n-1 
and k.2^n+1 for odd k between 3 and 299 reveals some interesting 
irregularities. Some values of k seem to generate far denser 
patterns of primes than others; the density of Mersenne primes is 
about average. Some values of k have distributions of primes which 
are apparently much "clumpier" than Mersenne primes, however 
other values of k have distributions of primes which appear to be 
suspciously smooth. Without an underlying theoretical argument 
as to why the "island" theory might be valid, I find it hard to explain 
the distribution irregularities as anything other than statistical 
artifacts based on inadequate observational data.

...................

There's been plenty of congratulations flying around - which I of 
course endorse - but I feel we should also offer condolances to 
Roland, Gordon and Joel for apparently being pushed down the 
honours table!

With regard to the EFF prize - the new discovery (if verified) does 
not represent anything radical in terms of hardware, algorithm or 
exploitation of a new theorem, which is why I indicated in an earlier 
message that I didn't think it would be contentious. After all, the 
mathematical theory behind the Lucas-Lehmer test is "old hat", the 
source code for several implementations is available for public 
inspection, and several types of off-the-shelf consumer hardware 
could be used to run the verification in a reasonable time.

The same might not be true for the larger EFF prize claims.


Regards
Brian Beesley
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