----- Original Message -----
From: "Frank_A_L_I_N_Y" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Nathan Russell" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Sunday, December 31, 2000 7:53 PM
Subject: Re: Mersenne: 2000 - first calender year without a Mersenne
> Even with hardware twice as fast, any current two year exponent would
still
> take a year at that time.
> I don't think the rate of double the speed every two years can hold out
for
> ever.
> Even if the next hardware can get through these exponents faster, the
longer
> exponents would come down the pipe sooner, requiring the next hardware
jump
> that much sooner.
>
> Regards Frank
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Nathan Russell" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> Sent: Sunday, December 31, 2000 7:01 PM
> Subject: Mersenne: 2000 - first calender year without a Mersenne
>
>
> > Well, unless there is an announcement within the next few hours, 2000
> > will be the first calender year in the history of GIMPS without a
> > Mersenne prime.
> >
> > Is the number of searchers, and the power of their hardware, increasing
> > enough to keep up with the increased runtimes and (slightly) decreased
> > chance of a given exponent being prime? Or can we expect only one prime
> > every several years, as was the case before the start of the GIMPS
> > effort?
> >
> > This might be a good discussion, since the list is fairly quiet now.
> >
> > Nathan
> >
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>
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