I concur. Anything must have been vaporized down to dust.
Michael Farmer

Sent from my iPhone

On May 6, 2013, at 8:57 AM, MEM <[email protected]> wrote:

> 
> 
> IIRC a researcher( name not remembered) went to the Tunguska "strewn forest" 
> and took the azimuth of several thousand knocked over trees and worked up a 
> trajectory, altitude, and yield for the Tunguska object with matched computer 
> modeling.  (Someone should find the research paper and correct my memory)
> 
> The heat blast scorched trees several miles from the disruption--like the 
> wooden fence posts and window sills of buildings near the Trinity shot.  To 
> release that much infrared energy the object had to be traveling at cometary 
> velocities (vs asteroid velocities--another major clue pointing to a comet).  
> It also supports the idea that nothing other than silicate vapor survived 
> what was equivalent to a high KT yield-- greater(?) than any "fussion bomb" 
> ever exploded.
> 
> So I respectfully disagree that there are any Tunguskan meteorites and never 
> were.
> 
> Elton
> 
> 
> 
>> ________________________________
>> From: Rob Matson <[email protected]>
>> To: 'Steve Arnold' <[email protected]>; [email protected] 
>> Sent: Sunday, May 5, 2013 11:25 PM
>> Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Million's of Dollars of Tunguska Meteorites 
>> may be located, just like Chelyabinsk's Meteorites: OUTSIDE of, NOT INSIDE, 
>> the Blast Zone.
>> 
>> 
>> Hi Steve,
>> 
>>> Robert Beauford and I were talking about Chelyabinsk shortly after the
>>> fall and he asked how many Chelyabinsk meteorites were being found
>>> in the city of Chelyabinsk, where all the windows had been blasted out?
>>> I told him that, as I understood it, the strewnfield was farther "down
>>> stream" because inertia carried the rocks further beyond the blast,
>>> like what almost always happens with fireballs.
>> 
>> The real reason nothing will be found in the city of Chelyabinsk itself
>> is that the meteoroid did not pass over the city. The closest point to
>> Chelyabinsk under the fireball path was 35 km to the south-southeast.
>> Even Korkino was north of the fireball's path. The main burst was
>> about 26 km above the city of Pervomayskiy, but prevailing winds
>> were to the southeast, so the closest meteorites would have fallen
>> south of that city.
>> 
>>> We later talked about how the Tunguska event of June 30, 1908,
>>> was bigger than Chelyabinsk it seemed, but probably not as big as
>>> the 101 crater forming event of Sikhote Alin, Russia of Feb. 12,
>>> 1947. Certainly, Tunguska was not as big as what caused the
>>> near-mile-wide Barringer Crater in Arizona. All of a sudden, it
>>> hit Robert..."Maybe there really should be Tunguska meteorites,
>>> but not where everyone has been looking for the last 105 years!"
>>> ... So why would there be Tunguska meteorites amongst the
>>> fallen trees at the Tunguska blast zone?
>> 
>> I agree that if meteorites made it to the ground, you would not
>> expect them to be concentrated at the epicenter of the terminal
>> burst (presumably the center of the fallen tree zone). But they
>> would almost certainly be within it. The Tunguska terminal burst
>> was at rather low altitude (likely 10 km or lower), while the
>> radius of the zone of devastation is something like 25 km. So
>> unless Tunguska's entry angle was very shallow and/or upper
>> atmospheric winds were extremely high, it would be difficult
>> for meteorites to travel 25 km downrange of that terminal
>> burst.
>> 
>> I do not believe the entry angle for Tunguska was particularly
>> steep or shallow; I think I remember the consensus is that it was
>> average, e.g. 30 degrees from horizontal. [Side note: 30 degrees
>> *is* the exact average entry angle, not 45 degrees.] So even if
>> the terminal burst was as high as 10 km, and there was no
>> atmospheric drag, meteorites could only travel about 17 km
>> downrange from the terminal burst.
>> 
>> Where meteorites would end up relative to the epicenter of
>> devastation depends on a combination of the original flight
>> direction, and the prevailing winds at the time and location of
>> the fall. There isn't consensus on that flight direction, though
>> based on the evidence I've seen I would estimate that it was
>> to the west-northwest. Unfortunately, the prevailing winds
>> are unknown, but you could probably bound them by examining
>> several years of historical data for mid-June to mid-July for
>> that general region of Siberia at around 0h UT. In fact, I think
>> that would be an excellent research project! I might even
>> tackle it myself...
>> 
>>> If we are right, WHERE should someone be looking to actually
>>> find the potentially millions of dollars of meteorites that have
>>> been waiting to be found all this time?
>> 
>> Based on my arguments above, *inside* the tree devastation
>> zone (which isn't very helpful, given that it covers some
>> 2000 square kilometers!) Flight direction favors the western
>> half of that zone [hey, down to 1000 sq. km ;-) ] I would want
>> to run some Monte Carlo cases with different assumptions
>> for wind, terminal burst altitude and flight direction to better
>> constrain the fall zone. Ultimately, the choice of wind speed
>> and direction is going to drive the answer to your question.
>> 
>> --Rob
>> 
>> 
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