Hello all,

I took a trip out to the Belmont, AZ Weather Service and stood in front of the 
camera that took the photo of the smoke cloud 5 or 6 minutes after it had 
ended.  I had the photo in hand to estimate to the best of my ability as to 
where the clouds were in the sky as related to Fremont Peak that morning. These 
clouds might have dissipated somewhat and drifted slightly to the south east 5 
to 6 min after the fireball passed.

I spent over an hour taking readings with my WWII Bendix A-7 sextant, and two 
WWI British prismatic compasses, averaging the readings of each. 

(BTW: these compasses are top notch, so good that they were used by sailors 
lost at sea to find destinations even without a sextant.  The WWII Bendix A-7 
is a fantastic sextant and very accurate as well)

Readings from the compasses:  (Magnetic) 35 - 36 degrees Easterly direction.

Sextant, after estimating where the clouds were over Fremont Peak.

Top cloud (larger one): 13.0 degrees above horizon.

Bottom cloud (smaller one):  7.25 degrees above horizon.

Average between both as the two clouds are linked in a chain ~8.6 degrees above 
horizon.

The top cloud which is very dispersed after the six or so min after the 
fireball end at 15:52:32 represents the start of the fireball, and from reports 
it came in a a very steep angle ~45 degrees from the North East. This fireball 
was observed from the Belmont location and others West of Flagstaff including 
my all sky camera, as going DOWNWARD.  If it rose up, or remained stationary 
instead of downward as it did, then it would appear heading toward and above 
the Belmont Weather station camera.  In all sightings west of Flagstaff it went 
DOWNWARD and to the East.

So the higher cloud appears higher in the sky due to the fact that the luminous 
flight began at about 60 miles or so. The smaller more defined cloud is the 
lower one to the ground maybe 15 to 20 miles above ground and closer to the 
Belmont Weather camera than the more distant larger dispersed portion of the 
smoke cloud. 

Do the trig. 13, 7.25 degrees above the horizon and an average between the two 
above the horizon taking into account the downward angle of the Fireball and 
the average assumed height between the beginning and the end of the event 
between 60 and 15 miles above the ground.

The larger cloud is most likely over 120 miles away from the camera.  The lower 
one most likely over 70 miles away from the camera.

And the compass heading of 35-36 degrees is a magnetic heading, keeping in mind 
the magnetic variation of 10.5 degrees to East of the the Celestial Pole which 
is True North to which my all sky camera is aligned. 

Draw your lines accordingly from the Belmont Weather Station at Navajo Army 
Depot along that line of magnetic bearing 35-36 degrees average between the two 
35.5 degrees. If you transpose to a map that is aligned to the true Celestial 
North, be sure to take into account the magnetic variation of 10.5 degrees in 
drawing the line.


Steve Schoner.
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