Hi Michael-

As a physicist (and not on the scene), my instinct is simply to perform some simple calculations to get some sense of what the various possibilities are.

Assuming wet soil, which seems like what the crater was formed in, it requires about 5 GJ (~1 ton TNT) to produce a crater that size. That might reasonably be created by a 2 meter diameter, 10 ton stone impacting at 1.5 km/s. Under those conditions, the impactor would be largely converted to dust, but there would be little vaporization. A lot of water could be vaporized, which would explain the cloud that was seen, but there wouldn't be enough residual heat to boil water that refilled the crater, or even make it hot.

Of course, it could have been a smaller object falling faster, or even a rather large object (~5 meter diameter) falling at a 200 m/s terminal velocity. The crater type would range from an explosive impact crater to a simple excavated hole.

Distinguishing between these extremes will require getting soil samples from around the crater extending at least a few hundred meters, as well as collecting detailed measurements of the crater to determine its precise shape. Unfortunately, the conditions don't seem ideal for conducting this kind of research. Personally, I wouldn't be optimistic about finding any large body in the crater, unless the actual impact was subsonic.

One question involving the fireball: did the impact occur simultaneously with the end of the fireball (which would imply a hypersonic impact of a small body), or did the impact occur a minute or more after the fireworks (which would suggest a low speed impact by a larger body)? Anyway, keep up the good work, and collect whatever data you can. I hope that the fireball was caught on a DoD satellite, and that the light curve will be released. That would greatly assist in analyzing the nature of the parent body.

Chris

*****************************************
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


----- Original Message ----- From: "Michael Farmer" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Chris Peterson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; <[email protected]>
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2007 6:59 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Carnacas smoke-trail photos


Chris, it is a hell of a crater, at least 13 meters in
diameter, more than one meter of uplift, looks
identical to Meteor Crater to me, on a much smaller
scale.
There in fact does seem to be shocked material at the
crater, I found only inside and just outside the
crater, large pieces of compacted sandstone, yet there
is no sandstone there, it seems to have solidified on
the impact, everything else is more like soft mud.
Large, and I mean larger pieces of sod, weighing at
least 40 or 50 kilograms were thrown more than 50-100
meters, and smaller dirt clod debris thrown up to 15o
meters in all directions. This is a serious impact, I
mean you can call it what you want, but with the
uplift, the incredible debris field thrown to all
sides, the huge size, and volume of the crater itself,
certainly leads me to believe that the mass weighed
many tons and is obviously in the hole under some
meters of fallback debris. The locals report mushroom
cloud lingered for more than a hour.
As far as more pieces, this meterite came in over lake
Titikaka, and if you have never seen this lake, it is
HUGE! I would guess that as fragil as the meteorite
is, that tons of debris fell off but would most likely
have all fallen into the lake, or perhaps some on the
mountains just inside of Bolivia. It is not populated
there, and I assume from talking to most witnesses,
that the large main mass, which was a massive ball of
fire much larger and brighter than the Sun, caught
everyones attention pretty well, and would be so
bright that smaller pieces would be drowned out by the
intensity of the main mass. That is what I think
happened, surely many more pieces broke off but from
where the main mass hit, back down the flightpath is
nothing but swamps and high mountains for about 10
miles, then 15 miles of lake. Perfect for most
material to be lost.
Michael Farmer

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