On Wed, 25 Mar 2009 09:40:55 -0700, you wrote:

>Yup it would be a guess, but doesn't science make guesses (hypotheses) 
>based on data and knowledge gained from data? 

You can make wild guesses, but when you aren't even sure of the order of
magnitude of the factors in the equation and have no easy way of testing the
results, what you have is pure guesswork.  (see equation, Drake)

http://xkcd.com/384/
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