Sterling,
So much effort on your part to "solidify", what to me is tantamount to an obvious causal relationship between these cotemporaneous events.
Not that all, isn't  fair game in the name of "Science".
Platonic a-priori reasoning is not well received in a "fundamentalist" rationalistic environment.
But the shadows on the wall lead us to corroborate even what seems obvious.
All of the previous threads imagining the results of a series of nightmarish events in our planet's history lay the groundwork for postulating such and such. So well done, Sterling and let's hope the 21st century doesn't include a pivotal conclusion to gain insight into the Grand Design in which we find ourselves.
Jerry

--------------------------------------------------
From: "Sterling K. Webb" <[email protected]>
Sent: Thursday, July 02, 2009 4:47 PM
To: <[email protected]>
Cc: "Meteorite List" <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Another awful meteorite-related TV event

Hi, Larry, List,

The Deccan Traps, so it seems, are now believed
to have started and stopped and started over again,
in irregular cycles, producing multiple layers. The
layers date from 62 to 68 million years ago, with
the peak eruptions at 66 million years ago and
lasting for as little as 30,000 years. In the strata
between outbursts, there are fossilized dinosaur
nests and eggs, making the Traps an unlikely cause
of their extinction anywhere but locally.

The shock waves of Chicxulub focused through
the planet have been modeled in the Sandia
supercomputers. They suggest that impacts can
start basalt flooding, or make small-scale volcanic
flows into much bigger ones. The positions of the
impact and the Deccan 63 million years ago are
120 degrees apart, which suggests an impact
angle of 30 degrees, which -- coincidentally --
is the same angle derived from studies of the
remnant crater in the Yucatan.

The Siberian Traps are the world's largest. The
eruptions lasted about 1,000,000 years. They span
the Permian-Triassic boundary, just as the Deccan
Traps span the K-T. Originally the Siberian Traps
covered 7,000,000 square km, or 5% of the Earth's
land surface. They span 25 degrees of latitude and
60 degrees of longitude. They were, at the time of
their formation antipodal to Antarctica, where
suggestions of a very large crater in Wilkes Land
have been made.

My guess is that focused impact shock makes
an ordinary large volcanic episode that happens
to be occurring in the right place become much
more productive of lava and turn into a basalt
flood. As major flood-basalt episodes correlate
very well with extinctions and the more recent
extinctions correlate very well with extinctions,
it's asking a lot of coincidence for them to be
accidental companions. There are no giant craters
known to not have an extinction hanging around,
and there are no giant basalt floods known to not
have an extinction hanging around them as well,
although there are extinctions without evidence
of one or the other. (I'm working on the Venn
diagram...)

Flood basalts are detectable well back into the
Archean Era; extinctions back to the Cambrian;
but impact craters' survival for more than a few
hundred million years is a matter of chance.
Sudbury and Vredefort were emplaced in ancient
cratons; that insured their survival. But craters
are not related to the terrain in any way, being
extraterrestrially random. And ya can't get more
random than that.

One can always find the kilometer-thick strata
of flood basalts. One can find the fossil shifts of
the last 550-700 million years. To demand that
clear-cut craters carry the sole burden of proof,
even in the most ancient cases, is in essence a
gimmick to shift the argument to evidence known
to be largely absent.

I'm still working on that Venn diagram...



Sterling K. Webb
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
----- Original Message ----- From: <[email protected]>
To: "Sterling K. Webb" <[email protected]>
Cc: <[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; "Meteorite List" <[email protected]>
Sent: Thursday, July 02, 2009 6:11 AM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Another awful meteorite-related TV event


Hi Sterling:

Lots of things probably hit the Earth early on, including something that
made the Moon. Given what the Moon looks like, just think about what the
Earth looked like after the late heavy bombardment.

In the back of my mind, there is always the idea of the Deccan Traps being
the result of a big impact! Or not.

Larry

Hi, Larry, List,

The Melosh model says this is a "once-in-a-lifetime"
event, meaning once in 4 billion years. That however
would not include that first 500 or 600 million years,
the Hadean Era.

At some point, this and bigger events must have
happened to the Earth. One has only to look at
the Moon and its visible record. For every basin
we see there, picture 18 just like it on the Earth.

I suspect the rock-melting calculations of the model
are flawed at this scale. Punching though (or deep
enough into) the crust would not let anything be
buried. Instead, the release of pressure on the
high-pressure high-temperature interior would
cause it to melt, boil and explode outward. It
would expose the near-molten rock at 30 km down,
which is at a pressure of 150,000 pounds per square
inch, to the vacuum of deep space (for all practical
purposes, our atmosphere doesn't count).

Gravity need not be taken into account in the
gas laws, but in a planetary body it is the source
of all interior pressure, right down to the 52,500,000
pounds per square inch found at the center of the
Earth. I suspect that puncturing the thin but very
rigid skin of a planet would produce not merely basalt
flooding, but initially an immense "fire-fountain" type
of volcano that would blast material right out through
the atmosphere. What a sight that would be! I suspect
you'd want to watch from high orbit or maybe
the Moon, though.


Sterling K. Webb
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
----- Original Message -----
From: <[email protected]>
To: "Sterling K. Webb" <[email protected]>
Cc: <[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; "Meteorite List"
<[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, July 01, 2009 11:17 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Another awful meteorite-related TV event


Hi Sterling:

Sounds more reasonable, if destroying everything is reasonable.

Any idea how often these occur? This is 5 times the diameter of either
Sudbury or Vredefort and these are more than a billion years old.

Maybe this is big enough to punch through the mantle and bury itself
in
magma.


Larry


Hi, Larry, List,

Yes, I am WRONG! However, my mistake was not the
one you hypothesized. The Wikipedia gives mass in
kilograms and I reduced the quantity by 1000 to
convert it to tons (10^18 kg = 10^15 metric tons),
correctly.

No, it was density. I think in grams per cubic centimeter
when I think density. Water = 1.0, rock = 2.5, and
so forth. The training is strong; one thinks in specific
density. But the online Calculator wants kilograms
per cubic meter, where water = 1000, rock = 2500, and
so forth.

So I calculated the impact of a 100 kilometer diameter
SNOWFLAKE ! One with a specific density of about
0.022, a little fat for a snowflake, actually... So, if you
ever want to know what impact a really big snowflake
would have, you've got it now.

The actual figures? The energy is 304,000,000,000
megatons. The crater is 1240 km (770 miles) across
and would be 2500 meters deep before it fills with
melt. The impact would melt 2,000,000 CUBIC MILES
of the Earth's crust, and the melt zone extends to a
depth of 35 kilometers, which in some places would
take it down into the mantle itself, and it would
certainly rebound and produce basalt flooding of
incomprehensible magnitude, likely enough to flood
and re-surface an entire continent. The "crater"
would be a complex multi-ringed basin about the
same size as the Moon's Mare Imbrium!

Big enough for you now?

This is a continent destroyer. The shock of the impact,
would be a world-wide Richter Scale 12.3, strong enough
to kill all animal life. The wind at the antipodeal point to
the impact would be 385 mph. At just a quarter of the way
around the planet (10,000 km away), the winds would
be 835 mph.

The fireball of the impact would be over 300 kilometers
in diameter (190 miles) and it would be visible for 5570
kilometers (3500 miles). The thermal flux would be 53
times brighter than the Sun and everything organic within
the line of sight would combust. This fireball would persist
for nearly 8 hours (7 hours 42 minutes) before cooling
enough to collapse. The shock wave there (3500 miles
away) would be over 2000 mph, or about Mach 3.

Major extinction event, clearly.

I can't speak to the roaches; no one knows what it takes
to wipe them out, if indeed it's even possible. Still, at
the worst, the sulfur-eating thermophiles in the deep
vents would survive just fine, fat and happy, and they
could start this evolution thing all over again, something
they've probably had to do before, as the universal inclusion
of the 16S rna ribosome in most living things attests to.

A little better?


Sterling K. Webb
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----- Original Message -----
From: <[email protected]>
To: "Sterling K. Webb" <[email protected]>
Cc: <[email protected]>; "Meteorite List"
<[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, July 01, 2009 9:03 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Another awful meteorite-related TV
event


Hi Sterling:

I will admit that, at first, I got the wrong asteroid (though now
more
interesting composition) and I am never one to say you are wrong,
but...

YOU ARE WRONG!!!!!

Sorry, that felt good!

If you go by Wikipedia, you lost 3 zeros 1x10^18 bit 1X10^15. It
would
be
had to believe that a 100-km diameter object (give or take) would
make
a
40-km hole in the ground unless it was going real slow and hit a
really
hard surface.

Somthing that big would probably make a hole 1000 km or so across
(at
least), which would make it a bad day even for the roaches.

Oh, did I forget to mention:

You are wrong! It is a rare day that I get to say that to you
Sterling,
sorry.

Larry

Hi, List,

To quantify that impact, I went and ran the numbers
through the online Impact Calculator that uses the
Jay Melosh model:
http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/impacteffects/

If 216 Kleopatra is 220 km x 100 km x 100 km, its
volume is 17,278,875.96 km^3 or a total of (take a
deep breath) 1,778,875,960,000,000 m^3. That's
1.7 quadrillion cubic meters and its mass would be at
least 3.5 quadrillion metric tons. (Dogbone and Potato
asteroids have lots of voids and a high porosity.)

No, wait! It's 114 Kassandra? Get your Apocalypses
straight, people!

The volume of 114 Kassandra is less than Kleopatra:
523,598,644,700,000 cubic meters. The mass of
114 Kassandra, if rock, has to be at a minimum of
1,500,000,000,000,000 tons, although some sources
say it's only 1,000,000,000,000,000. That big number
is a Quadrillion tons, in case you want to know.

OK, it's Kassandra! Smaller, lighter. Really puny.
I gave it an intercept velocity of 47 km/s, a little
slow for an eccentric orbit from the Asteroid Zone,
and an incidence angle of 45 degrees.

The energy of the collision is  1.20 x 10^24 Joules
or 268,000,000 MegaTons TNT. The Calculator says
"The average interval between impacts of this size
somewhere on Earth during the last 4 billion years
is 360,000,000 years."

That energy is the equivalent of an explosion created
by detonating a nuclear arsenal 1800 times bigger
than the entire nuclear arsenals of all the nations of
the world -- at once.

The final crater diameter is 39.5 km or 24.5 miles;
its final depth is 0.895 km or 0.556 miles. That seems
oddly small for something so big. Why is that? Well,
the Calculator says that the final crater is replaced
by a large, circular melt province. The volume of the
target melted or vaporized is 6410 cubic km or 1540
cubic miles. The melt volume is 2.87 times the
crater volume

If 114 Kassandra hit Los Angeles, you'd probably be
alright (for a while) if you were in New York City (or
Boston). You'd be alright, that is, if you can withstand
the shock wave which, at that distance, would have
a wind velocity of 140 mph, or a hurricane-level
Force Nine Gale on the Beaufort Scale. Where I live,
it'll be over 205 mph.

The real problem, I suspect, is in the vaporization of
a substantial percentage of that "melt province." If
10% of the rock vaporized, or 1.5 trillion tons of rock
vapor would be distributed very quickly through the
atmosphere at temperatures of more than 2000
degrees F. That quantity of rock vapor amounts to
about 20,000 tons of rock vapor per square mile
of the Earth's surface.

The Impact Calculator does not discuss the contribution
of the asteroid to the mass of rock vapor. I would suggest
that at least 1% of it would survive as "mere" rock vapor
(instead of plasma) -- that's an additional ten trillion tons,
raising the distribution to 110,000 tons of rock vapor per
square mile of the Earth's surface (about 190,000,000
square miles).

I suggest a very study, fireproofed umbrella would
be a good idea if you plan on going out...

This is an impact at least 30 to 50 times worse than
the Chicxulub Impact which, it has been suggested,
burned most of the vegetation off the planet with its
rock vapor plume. 114 Kassandra's effect could only
be characterized as the "Krispy Kritter" impact.

It sounds like a a lousy environment in which to
stage a mini-series. But... That's Entertainment!



Sterling K. Webb
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
------ Original Message -----
From: <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Cc: <[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, July 01, 2009 12:03 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Another awful meteorite-related TV
event


If Kleopatra were to hit the Earth (at least that is what I get out
of
the
main page), we would be in big trouble. For those of you who do not
remember, 216 Kleopatra, thanks to radar observations, looks very
much
like a big dog bone, 220 kilometers long and 100 kilometers across.

Larry

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----- Original Message -----
From: "Darren Garrison" <[email protected]>
To: "Meteorite List" <[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, July 01, 2009 11:38 AM
Subject: [meteorite-list] Another awful meteorite-related TV event


http://www.movieweb.com/news/NEn3LrswY8Zyro
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