I was interested in this article on the future of the craft. Needless to
say many of the predictions we made at the beginning of the hype have come
true.

Anyone who has spent a lot of time in #aviation knew the hype surrounding
#EVTOLs would never reach reality and this article from CleanTechnica
<https://www.linkedin.com/preload/#> parses out the winners and losers. It
also discusses the challenges remaining.


The challenges are consistent. The economics of #urbanairtaxis are
difficult. An #aircraft costing millions must fly many hours per day at
high load factors to cover capital and operating costs. Battery energy
density limits range and payload. Downwash, noise, and turbulence make
rooftop or street-level operations problematic. Wind and weather limits
reduce availability. #Certification requires thousands of flight hours and
proven safety redundancies. #Airtrafficmanagement for autonomous or semi
autonomous craft is not ready. Public acceptance of low-flying #rotorcraft
over dense cities remains uncertain.


"Looking out to 2030, most of the 21 pre production eVTOL firms will not
reach certification or sustained commercial service. A handful may survive
by focusing on niches where economics are better, regulation is lighter, or
customers are willing to pay for novelty. The idea of dense networks of air
taxis replacing ground transport in major cities isn’t going to arrive in
this decade, and likely not at all. The more credible transformation of
aviation will come from #electricregionalaircraft with fixed wings. They
can use existing airports, carry more passengers, and take advantage of the
rapid improvement in #batteries and #electricpropulsion."


Michael Barnard <https://www.linkedin.com/preload/#>


https://cleantechnica.com/2025/09/11/from-kitty-hawk-to-supernal-the-shrinking-future-of-evtols/?utm_medium=email&utm_source=rasa_io&utm_campaign=newsletter


Kathryn

-- 



Kathryn Creedy
PHONE # 321 405 4395
US-Eastern Time Zone
*Twitter*: @kcreedy
*Visit me on LinkedIn*
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