For those not prepared to do the work (:-)) , here's the link to the
blog Neil referred to:

http://www.overcomingbias.com/

Francis

On 30 Jan., 03:49, archytas <[email protected]> wrote:
> You would be accused by academics of very naive relativism here chaps.
> These Oxford boys are very elitist, though I have to admit it is a bit
> of a holiday to be amongst people who have read widely sometimes
> (though I go to Cambridge for this). I haven't come across anyone in
> here (not a regular anyway) who really believes in relativism. Lee
> (thank goodness!) certainly doesn't. Holding to our own views and
> respecting others is something there is plenty of - but what happens
> at that point where we can't just ignore or laugh with others over
> differences? The Oxford people tend to compress lots of learning and
> science into a few words (as in the opener to this thread) - then the
> debate spews open into all kinds of difficult to access material - and
> dialogues like ours would get scant attention other than to be graded
> as undergraduate fumbling. We might feel rather naked amongst this,
> left only with our two archery fingers! I can give a very direct
> example of the kind of truth the Oxford lot take for granted. This
> would be about giving people the choice of sitting in the spaceship
> designed at NASA or the one made in my shed that appeared to be a load
> of wood with a bit of blue touch-paper sticking out of it. A no-
> brainer I would think. Most of the Oxfordists would want to show us
> that our own arguments (including Lee on the brilliant contrast
> between groupthink and belonging needs) can usually be reduced to no-
> brainers once our own incompetence in argument is revealed. We might
> yawn and begin to exercise the archery fingers in our pockets as we
> are all-too versed in histories of elite groups coming up with "truth"
> - but I have to say, in the end, I think most argument is pre-
> practised and about world-views rather than amenable to truth-seeking
> (Quine's ideas). If Craig finds me hard he should go to the Oxford
> blog. What would be important to me would be another form of "talking"
> that is smarter than we manage in our down time in here, hopefully as
> friendly (without being smarmy) and which could avoid both chronic
> elitism and a chronic lack of failures to recognise our own
> incompetences. We manage something like this from time to time, but I
> can't get a grip on its structure. I'm not sure what I'm on about is
> understood here - this isn't that important to me. The aim is to move
> beyond simple statements of relativism that start off sounding
> tolerant and yet lead eventually to the impasse, "I think this and you
> think that - I'm bigger than you" - American dogma if we want to tease
> Craig - from everyone to their own to might is right. I'm just
> finishing an academic paper on this (first started 1999). I can't
> explain quickly, but some of the better scientific material (Darwin in
> particular) is really good at making the genuine reader feel that the
> truth is not about beating other people with certain claims, not about
> regimes of truth but admissions of uncertainty, speculation and so on.
> Maybe I should send Craig a signed copy for all his straining to (mis)
> understand me already! I'm not on about totalising truth - this is the
> kind of truth under critique in postmodernism, but I do now think I am
> on about a madness that denies truth at the very moment it puts
> emphasis upon it. People's thinking, after all, is very different
> under different concentrations of blood testosterone and cortisol. I
> shall no doubt be round, resplendent in my white lab coat, German
> scientific accent and with two jackbooted rottweilers, to take samples
> soon!
> On 29 Jan, 12:18, Lee <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > Exactly Craig.
>
> > In my youth I quickly worked out that the maxim 'well it my not be
> > right for you but it is right for me' has more thruth in it than many
> > others.
>
> > Indeed, I still live by it, as is evidenced by my lack of
> > prophlatising and conversion attempts.
>
> > Another such truth I wholehartedly belive in, and one that gets me
> > into all sorts of arguments is that patriotism harms more than it
> > helps.
>
> > Yet I can quite understand the need to belong, this is my opinion and
> > whilst it may differ from others I would be hard pressed to say which
> > one is correct.
>
> > On 29 Jan, 01:14, Kierkecraig <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > > Neil,
> > > I have to confess that I have to read your posts more than once to get
> > > your drift.  It appears that you are espousing a certain type of
> > > pragmatism.  You are accepting the fact that truth is elusive, and yet
> > > hoping that we can believe in something that works.  But before we can
> > > start talking about what is practical we have to decide what our aim
> > > is.  What is it that we are hoping works?  What are we trying to
> > > obtain?  Can we all agree on what we are trying to obtain?  Is
> > > consensus necessary?
>
> > > On Jan 28, 4:04 pm, archytas <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > > > This is quite subtle Oxford shit Lee - we are mere oiks - yet I like
> > > > the notion that we could better believe in what is true.
>
> > > > On 28 Jan, 17:20, Lee <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > > > > Hey Neil,
>
> > > > > Perhaps until we can answer the question, what is true?  We are all
> > > > > quite doomed!
>
> > > > > On 28 Jan, 00:04, archytas <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > > > > > How can we better believe what is true?   While it is of course 
> > > > > > useful
> > > > > > to seek and study relevant information, our minds are full of 
> > > > > > natural
> > > > > > tendencies to bias our beliefs via overconfidence, wishful thinking,
> > > > > > and so on.   Worse, our minds seem to have a natural tendency to
> > > > > > convince us that we are aware of and have adequately corrected for
> > > > > > such biases, when we have done no such thing.
>
> > > > > > There's a blog on this at Oxford University's Future of Humanity
> > > > > > Institute (easy to google).  Sad stuff on my brief scan, though I 
> > > > > > will
> > > > > > return.  The question seems key and I wondered whether we could do
> > > > > > better with it.  My own views include a notion of relativism that
> > > > > > recognises realism is implied and non-philosophic tropical fish
> > > > > > realism.  I won't bore on this in here - at a somewhat more 
> > > > > > practical
> > > > > > level I think we are in a plight that involves trauma and a need to
> > > > > > believe we can live more rationally and justly in public affairs.
> > > > > > This involves not using argument as a weapon and accepting some 
> > > > > > stuff
> > > > > > is intolerable.  I would see this as key to a future for humanity.
> > > > > > Obama is a bit of a hope here, but only if we can gather round.- 
> > > > > > Hide quoted text -
>
> > > - Show quoted text -
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