If  the change as Bruce suggests is to curb ebay-generated off-site deals, then 
that will never happen because ebay is a market and a market by definition is 
only a forum for offering and is always of limited time, goods or buyers. 
People seek opportunities and will pick or make a market based on enlightened 
fiscal self-interest and there will always be unethical substrata seeking to 
exploit that. Now and then someone sends me an ebay email or non-ebay email 
offering an  item similar to that on which I have bid and which I delete.

On the other hand, few efforts to protect a market by indirect action or by 
trying to corner it through controlling a significant component have been 
successful. Ebay should do a better job monitoring its email system and dealing 
with those people and it's not by hiding bidder id's because most solicitations 
are for stuff worth less than $200 and my id is still viewable on those 
auctions. 

If someone has been bidding as a shill to get the price to $200 and other 
bidders have taken note of their competitors before that, then a shill might be 
found out; it might be too risky for a seller not to have a shill come in until 
after $200. Of course that means watching auctions earlier or not bidding if 
the price has exceeded $200.

However, before now I could check out the seller and other bidders whose 
feedback and info might give me a small indication of the propriety of the 
auction. Now I might NOT bid on big ticket auctions of a seller with any degree 
or certain types of negative feedback, but so too bad for that seller. If an 
item worth at least $200 is set to start at $200 or goes past $200 from a lower 
start, then the bidder is going to have to set his max and stay at it however 
the bidding progresses. 

There's no big difference in the new system than with a private auction, except 
now at least there's an idea of how many bidders there are and how each of 
their bids go, which is actually an inprovement from the anonymity of private 
auctions.

Craig, Vancouver




  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Bruce Hershenson 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Sunday, January 14, 2007 9:49 AM
  Subject: [MOPO] EBAY DOES IT AGAIN!


  I see Kirby asked for my opinion of the latest eBay change. I just wrote 
about this in my latest e-mail club message. For any MoPo members not in my 
e-mail club, here are my thoughts on eBay's latest mis-adventure:

  EBAY DOES IT AGAIN! eBay is constantly tinkering with their site (you know 
the old expression, "If it ain't broke, don't fix it"?; eBay's motto seems to 
be, "If it ain't broke we will tinker with it until we finally break it!"). 
What is their latest misadventure? They have taken all eBay auctions and made 
them "semi-private"! Their stated purpose is to stop all of the fake second 
chance offers that are made all the time, and they SAY that they are limiting 
this move to just items over $200 (because that is where the most fraud is), 
but I don't believe them for a second! If that were true, they would not have 
made the "view seller's other items" page not show the high bidders' IDs, only 
a weird "Bidder One", "Bidder Two", etc., because any scammer can still see all 
the bids on any sub-$200 item (and those that are still under $200, but will 
end up over). Only honest bidders are hassled by this latest development, 
because they can no longer see the list of high bidder IDs (the!
   y have to click on items one by one to see the high bidder, and they can't 
even do that if the item is over $200).
       What do I think is really going on? I think eBay has finally realized 
that a huge amount of sales take place "off site" and that many people only 
LIST items on eBay, but then contact the bidders (or prospective buyers contact 
them) and then a deal is made off eBay. I think eBay wants to stop this, and is 
using the "scammer defense" as an excuse to soon make ALL auctions private. I 
think that eventually buyers and sellers will not see very much about each 
other until AFTER the deal is completed (much as things currently are for 
sellers on Amazon).
       What does this mean for sellers on eBay, and for me personally? I think 
it will likely have little effect on my sales, since all of my sales were 
completely "private" for a couple of years (and before that, all my major sales 
were "private" as well). It was only a few months ago that I returned to all 
"public" sales, and there was little difference in them then, and I would think 
therefore this latest change will mostly be a "non-event" for me personally, 
especially since most of my items stay under $200 for almost the entire time 
they are for auction (and since all start at 99 cents, you can see the bids of 
those that end up over $200 while they are still under $200). For instance, 
this week just FOUR of my items are currently over $200 as of right now. The 
only likely change I can see is that those people who used to place early bids 
on items as a form of smart "advertising" for themselves (they know hundreds of 
buyers click on MY items, and if their user ID is on MY !
   items, some of those bidders might wonder who those sellers are and check 
out THEIR items for sale, and doing this is FREE to them!) may well now do far 
less of this kind of early bidding. But otherwise I think my items will be 
largely unaffected (especially since most of my items are under $200 for most 
of the time, and therefore you still CAN see the bidders; you just have to do 
more work to view them).
       But what about OTHER eBay sellers? I fear that this latest blunder on 
eBay's part will have a chilling effect on the selling of all over-$200 items 
on eBay. There has been a steady reduction in such items over the past couple 
of years, and I fear this latest move will likely accelerate that process. And 
I think that is the last thing eBay needs, for eBay is fast becoming a gigantic 
yard sale, mostly over-flowing with unwanted material, and a lesser and lesser 
number of true rarities (my auctions excepted!). I also am afraid that once 
eBay does what I believe they will do and expand this to ALL items, that it 
will be the nail in the coffin of most smaller eBay sellers. Many bidders were 
already afraid to bid with sellers they don't know even when the auctions were 
public. How will they feel if all the auctions are "private"?
       I may well make the next poll be about this latest eBay change. I wanted 
to first give them a week to see if they withdraw it (if there is a lot of 
public outcry against it). If it appears this latest move is very unpopular 
with MY buyers (or that it will have an adverse effect on my results) then I 
will accelerate my plans to sell through a venue other tha eBay! Stay tuned to 
these club messages for the latest developments!

  Bruce

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