only if you have the fleaBay "any kind of listing in any category" site Dave
focused sites like MoviePosterBid.com eMovieposter.com and
Heritage.com will flourish because we deal with a specific clientelle
however bid sniping could be coming to an end to a great degree as it
becomes redundant
But I really think that you also have to take a broader view of what
happened from 1995-2008
I started my comic-art.com site in 1994 when there were fewer than
50,000 websites. Today there are over 500 million sites
also in 1994, less than 15 or 20% of the US households had personal
computers.. It was just about to explode
by 2000 75% of US households had personal computers, so you had 100s
of millions of new websurfers and websites
and now the saturation is about 90%. (if you don't have a computer
you are either: tech-scared, very old, or poor)
so during that time frame you had all kinds of people who had never
been to a Sotheby's or Christie's auction discovering the auction
format at their desk and like drugs.. their computers were addictive
as was the fleaBay experience of "winning"
fleaBay became the crack cocaine of the internet
but unlike crack cocaine, people have been able to wean themselves
away from fleaBay because of theft, bad press and a capricious
management that in all likelihood didn't use the site that much and
therefore probably couldn't really understand the buyers or sellers
the internet is also no longer a "new thing" to hardly anyone, and
after you've been using the net.. it becomes easier to determine how
you are going to move forward as a buyer or seller in eCommerce
fleaBay will get smaller to some degree and maintain that certain
presence for the rest of their life until rthey get gobbled up &
absorbed by some other company.. like Microsoft .. who would be
looking to move toward providing stronger eCommerce solutions for revenue
Rich==================
At 03:27 PM 6/4/2008, Dave Rosen wrote:
What is most interesting about the story is this idea that online
auctions may, as a whole, be sliding because consumers increasingly
want to buy something NOW and not have to wait till an auction ends
in a week's time to find out if they won it or not.
Of course, this could just be eBay's rationale in order to move
toward a set-price retail model, but IF this is true (I personally
think it is, though it is also only one factor among many in the
market sea-change that is going on), then ALL auctions, except those
at the highest end, will be affected, eBay or not.
Dave
Posteropolis
<http://www.posteropolis.com>www.posteropolis.com
----- Original Message -----
From: <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>David Kusumoto
To: <mailto:MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU>MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU
Sent: Wednesday, June 04, 2008 4:04 PM
Subject: [MOPO] Hershenson story goes viral
The 1,200-word analysis by Catherine Holahan featuring quotes by
Bruce -- that originated in Business Week magazine in New York
yesterday -- has gone super viral today.
Beyond the Yahoo News reference previously cited by Channing, the
story has been picked up by many papers and websites, including USA
Today and CNet, with some using headlines or leads -- declaring eBay
auctions, according to a Business Week analysis -- are
"doomed." The original Holahan story is at the link below as a
user-friendly PDF.
<http://tinyurl.com/46mucq>http://tinyurl.com/46mucq
...But a <http://tinyurl.com/46vqp8>Google
News<http://tinyurl.com/46vqp8> search of
<http://tinyurl.com/46vqp8>"Hershenson" cites nearly 50 "related"
stories on the web today....
-d.
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