Seem to remember this topic arising recently (Mel ?) after I had also mentioned the hindsight view of speciation (emergence of a new pattern) in evolution (?).
Remember Pirsig on hindsight ... [Quote] Traditional scientific method has always been at the very best 20-20 hindsight. It's good for seeing where you've been. It's good for testing the truth of what you think you know, but it can't tell you where you ought to go. [Unquote] Pisrig ZMM Anyway this Edge event caught my eye. http://www.edge.org/ 11:30 Tuesday, January 27th, Munich REFLECTIONS ON A CRISIS Daniel Kahneman & Nassim Nicholas Taleb: A Conversation in Munich (Moderator: John Brockman) [Quote] The greatest living psychologist and the foremost scholar of extreme events discuss hindsight biases, the illusion of patterns, perception of risk, and denial [Unquote] Regards Ian Moq_Discuss mailing list Listinfo, Unsubscribing etc. http://lists.moqtalk.org/listinfo.cgi/moq_discuss-moqtalk.org Archives: http://lists.moqtalk.org/pipermail/moq_discuss-moqtalk.org/ http://moq.org.uk/pipermail/moq_discuss_archive/
