Thanks Glenn

Horse


On 9 Jan 2001, at 1:25, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

> Horse and MDers,
> 
>   HORSE:
>   Maybe I missed it in your post but could you state exactly what it is YOU 
> mean by the 
>   Scientific Method. That might seem odd but I'm sure there are a number of 
> people who will 
>   otherwise be confused.
> 
> OK. What I mean by the scientific method is the conventional definition. 
> The method is a simple, iterative procedure that leads people to understand 
> how a phenomena in nature works. It does this by successively eliminating 
> wrong ideas about how the phenomena works until a promising idea is found, 
> at which point the method is used to refine the promising idea even
> further. The promising idea will be called a theory.
> 
> The method starts by making a guess of how the phenomena works, which is
> what the fancy word "hypothesis" means.
> 
> 1. Make a hypothesis
> 
> Then you devise an experiment that will prove your hypothesis wrong if the 
> experiment turns out a certain way. If you cannot think of a way to devise 
> such an experiment, your hypothesis might be right or wrong, but you'll 
> never be too sure one way or the other. Such a hypothesis might be outside 
> the bounds of science and fall under philosophy or religion, or just be 
> technically infeasible.
> 
> 2. Devise an experiment to test the hypothesis
> 3. Run the experiment
> 
> If the experiment falsifies the hypothesis (proves it wrong), you go back 
> to #1 and think up a new hypothesis or adjust your current one in some way 
> and re-devise, retest, etc.
> 
> If your experiment cannot disprove the hypothesis, then it has promise, 
> but it's far from certain. A careful investigator will rerun the 
> experiment many times to ensure it is not a fluke. If it still holds up, 
> parameters of this experiment are changed, but only one at a time, and 
> these are tested to see the effect they have on the phenomena. Examples of 
> parameters might be pressure, speed, temperature, volume, or time. You 
> find that the phenomena is sensitive to certain parameters, and not others. 
> Eventually a pretty good picture emerges of how the phenomena works.
> 
> An important part of science, but not the scientific method per se, is 
> that investigators publish their results along with a description of the 
> experiments that led them to these results. This allows other scientists 
> the opportunity to run the experiments themselves and either verify or 
> discredit the conclusions. For example, the claims about cold fusion back 
> in the 1980s were discredited this way.
> 
> Glenn
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